AccuScore simulates the rest of the College Football regular season every day and reports what happened across those runs: projected win-loss records, division title odds and College Football Playoff probabilities for every FBS team. The table below is the current state of that forecast — it moves as results come in, so a team's playoff number today is not the one it had last week.
The most likely bracket across AccuScore's simulations of the rest of the season: each seed goes to the team that holds it most often, and the favourite advances from every game. The percentage beside a team is its chance to win that game if the matchup happens. Title odds further down add up every possible path, so the favourite to win it all is not always the team at the end of this bracket.
Projected National Championship winner: Georgia Bulldogs
The percentage beside a seed is how often that team finishes in that exact seed. “Auto bid” marks a conference champion’s automatic place.
Each team's chance to reach every round, and to win it all. Top 12 by title chance.
| Team | Make CFP | Quarterfinals | Semifinals | Championship | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Hurricanes | 97% | 91% | 57% | 33% | 18.2% |
| Georgia Bulldogs | 85% | 74% | 48% | 30% | 17.9% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 92% | 79% | 44% | 23% | 11.2% |
| Indiana Hoosiers |
Simulation run 11/03/2026 09:36:15.
| 73% |
| 40% |
| 20% |
| 9.7% |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 57% | 43% | 24% | 12% | 6.4% |
| LSU Tigers | 48% | 36% | 20% | 11% | 6.1% |
| Texas Longhorns | 46% | 34% | 19% | 11% | 6.0% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 55% | 39% | 20% | 11% | 5.4% |
| Ole Miss | 50% | 35% | 19% | 10% | 5.0% |
| Utah Utes | 79% | 61% | 26% | 10% | 3.9% |
| UCLA Bruins | 62% | 40% | 16% | 5% | 1.9% |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 53% | 30% | 11% | 4% | 1.3% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: at ND, Nov 7 → | 8-0 | 11.2 | 0.8 | 99% | 97% |
| Next: vs MRMK, Nov 7 → | 7-1 | 10.2 | 1.8 | 1% | 53% |
| Next: vs VT, Nov 6 → | 6-2 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0% | 5% |
| Next: at SMU, Nov 6 → | 6-2 | 7.9 | 4.1 | 0% | 2% |
| Next: vs FSU, Nov 13 → | 6-3 | 7.6 | 4.4 | — | 1% |
| Next: at NCSU, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0% | 3% |
| Next: at GT, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 7.5 | 4.5 | — | 5% |
| Next: at SYR, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 7.2 | 4.8 | — | 2% |
| Next: vs DUKE, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.2 | 5.8 | — | 0% |
| Next: at CONN, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.1 | 5.9 | — | 0% |
| Next: vs CAL, Nov 14 → | 4-5 | 5.7 | 6.3 | — | 0% |
| Next: vs CLEM, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 5.3 | 6.7 | — | 0% |
| Next: at BC, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 4.9 | 7.1 | — | 0% |
| Next: vs FSU, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 4.8 | 7.2 | — | — |
| Next: at VT, Nov 14 → | 4-5 | 4.7 | 7.3 | — | — |
| Next: at UVA, Nov 14 → | 3-6 | 4.0 | 8.0 | — | — |
| Next: vs LOU, Nov 7 → | 2-6 | 2.5 | 9.5 | — | — |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: at FAU, Nov 5 → | 7-1 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 45% | 11% |
| Next: at USF, Nov 12 → | 7-2 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 15% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1stUtah Utes Next: vs BYU, Nov 7 → | 8-0 | 10.8 | 1.2 | 68% | 79% |
| Next: vs WVU, Nov 7 → | 7-1 | 9.6 | 2.4 | 12% | 41% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: vs USC, Nov 14 → | 8-1 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 45% | 87% |
| Next: at MINN, Nov 7 → | 8-0 | 10.4 | 1.6 | 33% | 62% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: at NMSU, Nov 7 → | 7-1 | 10.2 | 1.8 | 83% | 2% |
| Next: vs SHSU, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 15% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: at SAC, Nov 4 → | 6-2 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 40% | 2% |
| Next: at M-OH, Nov 10 → | 6-2 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 30% | 0% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: at NEV, Nov 6 → | 7-1 | 10.2 | 1.8 | 74% | 28% |
| Next: at HAW, Nov 14 → | 7-2 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 5% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: at CSU, Nov 7 → | 7-1 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 81% | 39% |
| Next: at USU, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 1% | 1% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: at MISS, Nov 7 → | 7-1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 58% | 85% |
| Next: at LSU, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 9.1 | 2.9 | 6% | 55% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: at USM, Nov 5 → | 7-2 | 9.3 | 2.7 | 59% | 3% |
| Next: vs GAST, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 10% |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: vs MIA, Nov 7 → | 7-1 | 10.4 | 1.6 | — | 92% |
| Next: vs UNC, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.2 | 5.8 | — | — |
Powered by AccuScore • Updated Wednesday, November 4
| Next: vs RICE, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 39% | 5% |
| Next: at ECU, Nov 6 → | 6-2 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% |
| Next: vs AFA, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 1% | 0% |
| Next: vs UTSA, Nov 5 → | 5-3 | 6.8 | 5.2 | 0% | 0% |
| Next: vs USF, Nov 6 → | 4-4 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 0% | 0% |
| Next: at TULN, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.1 | 5.9 | — | — |
| Next: vs TLSA, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% |
| Next: vs CLT, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 0% | — |
| Next: vs TEM, Nov 7 → | 2-6 | 4.5 | 7.5 | — | — |
| Next: at NAVY, Nov 7 → | 2-6 | 3.8 | 8.2 | — | — |
| Next: at UNT, Nov 7 → | 1-7 | 2.0 | 10.0 | — | — |
| Next: at UAB, Nov 7 → | 1-7 | 1.7 | 10.3 | — | — |
| Next: at UTAH, Nov 7 → | 7-1 | 9.4 | 2.6 | 16% | 36% |
| Next: vs CIN, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 1% | 18% |
| Next: vs TCU, Nov 6 → | 6-2 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 2% | 13% |
| Next: at KSU, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 0% | 3% |
| Next: vs ISU, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 0% | 3% |
| Next: at HOU, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 6.6 | 5.4 | — | 0% |
| Next: at KU, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.1 | 5.9 | — | 0% |
| Next: vs OKST, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.1 | 5.9 | — | 1% |
| Next: at TTU, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 6.1 | 5.9 | — | 0% |
| Next: at BAY, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 5.8 | 6.2 | — | 0% |
| Next: vs COLO, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 5.8 | 6.2 | — | 0% |
| Next: at ARIZ, Nov 6 → | 4-4 | 5.4 | 6.6 | — | 0% |
| Next: vs UCF, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 4.9 | 7.1 | — | 0% |
| Next: at ASU, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 4.3 | 7.7 | — | — |
| Next: vs ORE, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 19% | 57% |
| Next: at IU, Nov 14 → | 7-2 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 2% | 18% |
| Next: at NU, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 1% | 19% |
| Next: vs RUTG, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 7.9 | 4.1 | 0% | 5% |
| Next: vs IOWA, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 0% | 7% |
| Next: at OSU, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 0% | 10% |
| Next: at ILL, Nov 6 → | 5-3 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 0% | 4% |
| Next: at WASH, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.8 | 5.2 | — | 1% |
| Next: vs MSU, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 6.7 | 5.3 | — | 2% |
| Next: vs NEB, Nov 6 → | 5-3 | 6.6 | 5.4 | 0% | 2% |
| Next: vs PSU, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 6.6 | 5.4 | — | 1% |
| Next: vs UCLA, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 0% | 1% |
| Next: vs MD, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 4.3 | 7.7 | — | — |
| Next: at MICH, Nov 7 → | 2-6 | 3.4 | 8.6 | — | 0% |
| Next: at WIS, Nov 7 → | 2-6 | 2.9 | 9.1 | — | — |
| Next: at PUR, Nov 7 → | 2-6 | 2.9 | 9.1 | — | — |
| Next: at KENN, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0% | — |
| Next: vs WKU, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 0% | — |
| Next: vs MOST, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 5.3 | 6.7 | — | — |
| Next: vs LIB, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 4.7 | 7.3 | 0% | — |
| Next: at MTSU, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 0% | — |
| Next: at FIU, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 1% | — |
| Next: vs DEL, Nov 7 → | 2-6 | 4.4 | 7.6 | — | — |
| Next: at JXST, Nov 7 → | 1-7 | 2.5 | 9.5 | — | — |
| Next: at AKR, Nov 10 → | 6-3 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 19% | 0% |
| Next: vs OHIO, Nov 10 → | 5-3 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 8% | 0% |
| Next: at BALL, Nov 11 → | 5-3 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2% | 0% |
| Next: vs BALL, Nov 4 → | 4-4 | 6.5 | 5.5 | — | — |
| Next: vs CMU, Nov 4 → | 4-5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | — | — |
| Next: at EMU, Nov 4 → | 3-5 | 5.4 | 6.6 | — | — |
| Next: at MASS, Nov 4 → | 3-5 | 4.4 | 7.6 | — | — |
| Next: at BGSU, Nov 10 → | 3-6 | 3.7 | 8.3 | — | — |
| Next: vs KENT, Nov 10 → | 2-7 | 3.1 | 8.9 | — | — |
| Next: vs TOL, Nov 4 → | 2-7 | 2.2 | 9.8 | — | — |
| Next: vs WMU, Nov 10 → | 1-7 | 1.9 | 10.1 | — | — |
| Next: at ARMY, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 2% | 0% |
| Next: vs WYO, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 13% | 0% |
| Next: at UNLV, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 6.6 | 5.4 | 6% | 0% |
| Next: vs NIU, Nov 7 → | 4-5 | 5.6 | 7.4 | 0% | — |
| Next: vs UNM, Nov 6 → | 3-5 | 4.8 | 7.2 | 0% | — |
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | 2-6 | 4.5 | 7.5 | — | — |
| Next: vs HAW, Nov 7 → | 1-7 | 1.9 | 10.1 | — | — |
| Next: at SJSU, Nov 7 → | 0-8 | 1.2 | 10.8 | — | — |
| Next: vs TXST, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 18% | 1% |
| Next: at ORST, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 0% | 0% |
| Next: vs USU, Nov 14 → | 4-5 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 0% | — |
| Next: vs FRES, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0% | — |
| Next: vs BOIS, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 3.5 | 7.5 | — | — |
| Next: vs CSU, Nov 14 → | 1-8 | 1.9 | 9.1 | — | — |
| Next: vs UGA, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 13% | 50% |
| Next: at TENN, Nov 7 → | 7-1 | 8.9 | 3.1 | 7% | 26% |
| Next: vs ALA, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 7% | 48% |
| Next: at MIZ, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 7% | 46% |
| Next: vs UK, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 1% | 19% |
| Next: vs TEX, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 1% | 10% |
| Next: vs OU, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 0% | 12% |
| Next: vs TA&M, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 0% | 9% |
| Next: vs ARK, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.4 | 5.6 | — | 0% |
| Next: vs VAN, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.3 | 5.7 | — | 0% |
| Next: at FLA, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 5.7 | 6.3 | — | 1% |
| Next: at SC, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 5.6 | 6.4 | — | 0% |
| Next: at MSST, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 3.9 | 8.1 | — | — |
| Next: at AUB, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 3.6 | 8.4 | — | — |
| Next: at GASO, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 6.8 | 5.2 | 1% | — |
| Next: vs MRSH, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 28% | 0% |
| Next: at APP, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 0% | — |
| Next: vs ODU, Nov 7 → | 3-5 | 4.8 | 7.2 | 2% | — |
| Next: at CCU, Nov 7 → | 2-7 | 3.1 | 8.9 | — | — |
| Team | W-L | Proj W | Proj L | Div% | Playoff% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next: at TROY, Nov 7 → | 6-2 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 88% | 2% |
| Next: vs USA, Nov 7 → | 5-3 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 5% | 0% |
| Next: at UL, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 2% | — |
| Next: vs ULM, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 3% | — |
| Next: vs LT, Nov 7 → | 4-4 | 5.6 | 6.4 | 2% | — |
| Next: vs JMU, Nov 5 → | 3-5 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 1% | — |
| Next: at ARST, Nov 7 → | 1-7 | 1.8 | 10.2 | — | — |