Central Michigan
3-0
Eastern Michigan
4-0
Win Probability
Central Michigan travels to face Eastern Michigan in a matchup the simulation leans slightly toward the home side. Jadyn Glasser's projected 130 passing yards will likely define how far the Chippewas can stretch the Eagles' secondary, while Eastern Michigan counters with Harold Mack and Benson Prosper expected to combine for 75 receiving yards. The game turns on whether Central Michigan can sustain drives; Glasser's volume suggests the visitors will need efficient offense to keep pace in what projects as a closely matched contest. AccuScore's model has returned 36% on similar home-leaning calls across 64 graded games. Eastern Michigan would need to limit Central Michigan's passing game more severely than projected to pull away.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H CMU ML
CMU +100
-1.4% EV
44.5% leads · push 8.2%
Caesars ↗
1H EMU ML
EMU -110
-0.7% EV
47.4% leads · push 8.2%
BetMGM ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
| Book | Line | EMU | EV | CMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -1.5 | -105 | -1.7% | -115 | -2.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -1.5 | -108 | -2.3% | -112 | -2.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -1.5 | -110 | -2.7% | -108 | -1.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | -1.5 | -108 | -2.3% | -113 | -2.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -2.5 | +100 | -3.1% | -120 | -1.3% |
| Book | EMU | EV | CMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -118 | -1.2% | -102 | -3.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -113 | -0.2% | -106 | -4.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -120 | -1.6% | +100 | -2.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | -121 | -1.8% | +102 | -2.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -115 | -0.6% | -105 | -3.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 44.5 | -108 | -0.1% | -112 | -4.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 44.5 | -118 | -2.2% | -104 | -2.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 44.5 | -110 | -0.6% | -108 | -3.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | 44.5 | -108 | -0.1% | -112 | -4.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 44.5 | +100 | +1.8% | -120 | -5.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Eastern Michigan 53% to beat Central Michigan (47%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Eastern Michigan the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Eastern Michigan a 53% chance of beating Central Michigan, against 47% for Central Michigan. Eastern Michigan are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Central Michigan (3-5 so far) project to finish 5.4–6.6 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Eastern Michigan (4-5 so far) project to finish 5.5–6.5 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan | 5.4–6.6 | 0% | 0% |
| Eastern Michigan | 5.5–6.5 | 0% | 0% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Central Michigan and Eastern Michigan come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Central Michigan have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Eastern Michigan have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 13 times since 2011: Central Michigan 8, Eastern Michigan 5. The last meeting, on Sep 27, 2025, finished Eastern Michigan 13, Central Michigan 24.
Central Michigan are 38-19 as favourite and 27-67 as underdog, and 34-58 on the road (37% of 92 games, 2011–2026).
Eastern Michigan are 23-12 as favourite and 29-83 as underdog, and 26-41 at home (39% of 67 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CMU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 38-19 | 23-12 |
| As underdog | 27-67 | 29-83 |
| At home | 33-37 | 26-41 |
| On the road | 34-58 | 28-61 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →