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Prediction Accuracy

Every graded pick, grouped the same way the tier is decided.

Winning patterns

n 100–300 · ROI ≥ 5%315 of 315 · 9 with a pick on today's board

Groups of past picks that returned a profit over a sample of 100–300 graded bets. A pick landing in one of these earns its accuracy signal — one of three signals behind a tier, alongside positive EV and sharp money. Two of the three make a Gold pick, so a pick can reach Gold on EV and sharp money alone without matching anything here. Where today's board has a Gold or Platinum pick in a pattern, it is linked.

PatternSportMarketTimeW–LNWin%ROIToday
Bundesliga · 10-20% chance to win · 7.5%+ edgeSoccer1X2all time32–13216420%+67.7%—
priced +200 to +400Soccer1X21 month47–7111840%+51.8%—
Champions League · 20-30% chance to win · 1.5–3% edgeSoccer1X2all time38–6610437%+40.6%—
MIA · 7.5%+ edgeNBAMoneylineall time119–14826745%+37.1%—
MLS · 0–1.5% edgeSoccer1X23 years51–5410549%+36.3%—
aston villaSoccer1X2all time62–6612848%+34.1%—
40-50% chance to win · 7.5%+ edgeMLBMoneyline1 year85–8717249%+32.2%—
home favourite · our number 0-1 from the bookmaker'sNFLSpreadall time126–56–118369%+32.0%—
brentford · 7.5%+ edgeSoccer1X2all time42–6811038%+31.8%—
OTT · 7.5%+ edgeNHLMoneylineall time62–6112350%+31.3%—
DEN · 7.5%+ edgeNBAMoneylineall time89–12020943%+30.0%—
20-30% chance to win · 0–1.5% edgeSoccer1X23 years57–12217932%+27.2%—
augsburg · 7.5%+ edgeSoccer1X2all time51–8713837%+27.2%—
leicester city · 7.5%+ edgeSoccer1X2all time43–6410740%+27.0%—
MIA · backing the homeNBAMoneylineall time131–8021162%+26.7%—
sampdoria · backing the homeSoccer1X2all time47–5510246%+25.0%—
our number 0-1 from the bookmaker's · backing the overNFLTotalall time79–4212165%+24.6%—
CLS · backing the homeNHLMoneylineall time89–5514462%+24.6%—
brentfordSoccer1X2all time75–10217742%+24.2%—
0-10% chance to win · 7.5%+ edgeSoccer1X2all time16–2492656%+23.1%—
our number 0-1 from the bookmaker's · backing the underSoccerTotal1 month103–54–1617366%+22.9%—
brentford · backing the homeSoccer1X2all time55–5410950%+22.7%—
WAS · backing the awayNHLMoneylineall time138–8322162%+22.3%—
DEN · backing the awayNBAMoneylineall time123–14426746%+22.2%—
rennesSoccer1X2all time61–6312449%+22.1%—

Recent Picks

GOLD & PLATINUM · FINISHED · ET
Last 30 days · Gold & Platinum
192–263 on 455 graded picks
42% hit rate
ROI · -9.8%
Last 7 days · 39–49 on 88 graded picks
44% hit rate-12.2% ROI
Oct 1
GOLDWIN+$110
EDM @ VANNHL
EDM -1.5(spread)54% · +110
Oct 1
GOLDLOSS-$100
TEX @ TULNCAAF
Under 56.5(total)65% · -104
Oct 1
GOLDLOSS-$100
PIT @ CLENFL
PIT -3(spread)58% · -104
Oct 1
GOLDWIN+$94
KEN @ MEXNCAAF
Under 55.5(total)61% · -106
Oct 1
GOLDWIN+$176
MIN @ NSHNHL
MIN -1.5(spread)47% · +176
Oct 1
GOLDLOSS-$100
TB @ NYRNHL
TB -1.5(spread)43% · +170
Oct 1
GOLDLOSS-$100
PHI @ NJNHL
PHI +1.5(spread)77% · -175
Oct 1
GOLDWIN+$58
PHI @ ATLMLB
ATL +1.5(spread)66% · -172
4W–4L · 8 picks · $100/pick+$38
Date (ET)▼Matchup↕League↕Pick↕Prob↕Tier↕Result↕P/L↕
Oct 1EDM @ VANNHLEDM -1.5(spread)54%+110GOLDWIN+$110
Oct 1TEX @ TULNCAAFUnder 56.5(total)65%-104GOLDLOSS-$100
Oct 1PIT @ CLENFLPIT -3(spread)58%-104GOLDLOSS-$100
Oct 1KEN @ MEXNCAAFUnder 55.5(total)61%-106GOLDWIN+$94
Oct 1MIN @ NSHNHLMIN -1.5(spread)47%+176GOLDWIN+$176
Oct 1TB @ NYRNHLTB -1.5(spread)43%+170GOLDLOSS-$100
Oct 1PHI @ NJNHLPHI +1.5(spread)77%-175GOLDLOSS-$100
Oct 1PHI @ ATLMLBATL +1.5(spread)66%-172GOLDWIN+$58
4W–4L · 8 picks · $100/pick+$38

Profitable at volume, by league

n > 300 · ROI > 0

Each league's own record over a large sample. A group of thousands of games can never sit inside the 100–300 window above, so none of these count towards a signal — they are the widest evidence we have. Only leagues we simulate are listed.

EPL

MarketTimeW–LNWin%ROI
Total1 year169–128–3633357%+7.7%
1X21 year138–21435239%+7.0%
1X2all time1552–28594,41135%+3.3%
Total3 years461–399–10396354%+2.1%

NFL

MarketTimeW–LNWin%ROI
Spreadall time2105–1702–1163,92355%+5.4%
Spread3 years418–357–3080554%+2.9%
Totalall time2077–1818–553,95053%+1.8%
Total3 years405–356–1377453%+1.6%

MLS

MarketTimeW–LNWin%ROI
1X21 year148–22837639%+3.5%

NCAAF

MarketTimeW–LNWin%ROI
Total1 year361–311–1468654%+2.5%
Total3 years606–535–191,16053%+1.4%

Champions League

MarketTimeW–LNWin%ROI
1X23 years177–30147837%+2.3%
1X2all time309–52883737%+1.5%
Total3 years238–210–144953%+1.4%
Totalall time333–302–2666152%+0.1%

NBA

MarketTimeW–LNWin%ROI
Moneylineall time6859–924916,10843%+2.1%
Moneyline3 years1398–21643,56239%+0.3%

Bundesliga

MarketTimeW–LNWin%ROI
1X2all time1372–21583,53039%+1.5%

Prediction Archive

0 GRADED GAMES
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Results are derived from the stored projection and the final score. Odds are shown where the feed carried a price; blank means no price was recorded for that market.

How we measure accuracy

Every pick is graded from the archive of completed games and grouped by probability band, EV band, odds, line, model-vs-line gap, team and league. A pattern counts towards a pick's accuracy signal at n between 100 and 300 with ROI of 5% or better. Accuracy is one of three signals behind a tier — positive EV and sharp money are the others, and two of the three make a Gold pick. ROI is flat-stake net return per unit risked at the odds actually available. EV bands are shown halved, matching every EV on the site; win rate and ROI are measured outcomes and are shown as they are.

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