Delaware
4-0
Kennesaw State
2-0
Win Probability
Delaware travels to Kennesaw State in a matchup between unbeaten teams, with the simulation favoring the Fightin' Blue Hens slightly. Rickie Collins projects for 190 passing yards against a Delaware defence that will lean heavily on Tyler Bell, whose 120 yards through the air fall well short. The game hinges on whether Kennesaw State can establish early momentum; across eight similar win-probability shapes, the favored side won only five times. For Kennesaw State to pull the upset at home, it will need Boogie Woods III to break through for significantly more than his projected 50 rushing yards.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H DEL ML
DEL -118
-2.6% EV
47.1% leads · push 7.7%
BetMGM ↗
1H KENN ML
KENN +102
-0.6% EV
45.1% leads · push 7.7%
DraftKings ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
| Book | Line | KENN | EV | DEL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +1.5 | -105 | -1.5% | -115 | -2.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +2.5 | -112 | -0.0% | -108 | -4.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +2 | -108 | -0.6% | -110 | -3.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | +2 | -110 | -1.0% | -110 | -3.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +1.5 | -105 | -1.5% | -115 | -2.9% |
| Book | KENN | EV | DEL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +105 | -2.4% | -125 | -1.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +106 | -2.2% | -128 | -2.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +105 | -2.4% | -125 | -1.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | +109 | -1.5% | -129 | -2.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +105 | -2.4% | -125 | -1.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 56.5 | -110 | -2.6% | -110 | -1.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 56.5 | -114 | -3.4% | -106 | -1.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 56.5 | -112 | -3.0% | -105 | -0.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | 56.5 | -109 | -2.4% | -110 | -1.9% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 57.5 | -110 | -5.1% | -110 | +0.6% |
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Delaware 54% to beat Kennesaw State (46%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Delaware the more likely winner at 54%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Kennesaw State a 46% chance of beating Delaware, against 54% for Delaware. Kennesaw State are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Delaware (4-4 so far) project to finish 6.0–6.0 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Kennesaw State (2-6 so far) project to finish 4.4–7.6 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | 6.0–6.0 | <1% | 0% |
| Kennesaw State | 4.4–7.6 | 0% | 0% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Delaware and Kennesaw State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Delaware have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
Kennesaw State have won 1 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-L, most recent first).