Old Dominion
2-0
Coastal Carolina
3-0
Win Probability
Coastal Carolina hosts Old Dominion in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the home side. The game hinges on passing efficiency: Deuce Bailey projects for 180 yards while Jaxon Potter is expected to manage just 120. Coastal Carolina's receiving corps should dominate, with Robby Washington projected for 30 yards against a visiting defense that will ask much of Kendall Harris and Josh Rodriguez in limited opportunities. AccuScore's model has hit 57% on similar home-favored matchups over 79 graded games. Old Dominion would need Potter to outperform expectations substantially while containing Bailey's efficiency to pull the upset.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H ODU ML
ODU +190
+1.2% EV
32.7% leads · push 7.5%
theScore Bet ↗
1H CCU ML
CCU -210
-2.1% EV
59.8% leads · push 7.5%
BetMGM ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
1H Spread
ODU +4.5 -120
-0.1% EV
54.4% covers
betPARX ↗
1H Spread
CCU -4.5 -105
-5.5% EV
45.6% covers
theScore Bet ↗
1H Total
O 22.5 -115
-2.4% EV
50.9% over
Fanatics ↗
1H Total
U 22.5 -110
-3.1% EV
49.1% under
betPARX ↗
| Book | Line | CCU | EV | ODU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -7 | -110 | -2.3% | -110 | -2.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -7.5 | +100 | -1.8% | -122 | -2.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -7 | -112 | -2.7% | -105 | -1.0% |
| Caesars ↗ | -7 | -114 | -3.1% | -106 | -1.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -7.5 | +100 | -1.8% | -120 | -2.5% |
| Book | CCU | EV | ODU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -278 | -2.8% | +225 | -0.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -265 | -2.2% | +215 | -1.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -275 | -2.7% | +220 | -1.0% |
| Caesars ↗ | -280 | -2.9% | +225 | -0.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -270 | -2.4% | +220 | -1.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 43.5 | -112 | -0.4% | -108 | -4.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 43.5 | -112 | -0.4% | -108 | -4.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 43.5 | -110 | +0.0% | -110 | -4.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | 43.5 | -115 | -1.0% | -104 | -3.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 43.5 | -110 | +0.0% | -110 | -4.6% |
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Coastal Carolina 69% to beat Old Dominion (31%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Coastal Carolina the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Coastal Carolina a 69% chance of beating Old Dominion, against 31% for Old Dominion. Coastal Carolina are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Old Dominion (2-7 so far) project to finish 3.1–8.9 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Coastal Carolina (3-5 so far) project to finish 4.8–7.2 and make the College Football Playoff in 0% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion | 3.1–8.9 | 0% | 0% |
| Coastal Carolina | 4.8–7.2 | 2% | 0% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Old Dominion and Coastal Carolina come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Old Dominion have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Coastal Carolina have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 3 times since 2022: Old Dominion 2, Coastal Carolina 1. The last meeting, on Oct 4, 2025, finished Coastal Carolina 7, Old Dominion 47.
Old Dominion are 25-11 as favourite and 18-60 as underdog, and 21-42 on the road (33% of 63 games, 2014–2026).
Coastal Carolina are 26-7 as favourite and 14-23 as underdog, and 23-17 at home (57% of 40 games, 2018–2026).
| Record | ODU | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 25-11 | 26-7 |
| As underdog | 18-60 | 14-23 |
| At home | 26-32 | 23-17 |
| On the road | 21-42 | 19-22 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →