Clemson
5-0
Syracuse
4-0
Win Probability
Clemson travels to Syracuse with the simulation favoring the visitors slightly in a matchup between undefeated teams. The Tigers' passing game will be central to the outcome: Tait Reynolds projects for 170 passing yards, while Steve Angeli is expected to manage just 80, a gap that reflects the teams' respective offensive capacity. Clemson's Bryant Wesco Jr. should contribute 35 receiving yards as the passing attack distributes the load. On AccuScore's record in similar games—those favoring the away side by a modest margin—the model has won just 35% of 82 graded decisions. For Syracuse to prevail at home, the Orange would need to keep the game tighter than the model projects, as ball control through Ahmad Miller (55 rushing yards projected) and Umari Hatcher (55 receiving yards) will be essential.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H CLEM ML
CLEM -135
-2.4% EV
50.4% leads · push 7.6%
BetMGM ↗
1H SYR ML
SYR +120
+0.0% EV
42.0% leads · push 7.6%
DraftKings ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
1H Spread
CLEM -1.5 -102
-2.1% EV
48.4% covers
DraftKings ↗
1H Spread
SYR +1.5 -115
-1.7% EV
51.6% covers
FanDuel ↗
1H Total
O 24.5 -106
-1.9% EV
49.5% over
Caesars ↗
1H Total
U 24.5 -110
-1.8% EV
50.5% under
BetMGM ↗
| Book | Line | SYR | EV | CLEM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +2.5 | -108 | -1.5% | -112 | -3.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +2.5 | -105 | -0.8% | -115 | -3.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +2.5 | -105 | -0.8% | -115 | -3.6% |
| Caesars ↗ | +2.5 | -108 | -1.5% | -112 | -3.0% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +2.5 | -110 | -1.9% | -110 | -2.6% |
| Book | SYR | EV | CLEM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +120 | -1.5% | -142 | -2.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +114 | -2.8% | -137 | -1.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +115 | -2.6% | -140 | -2.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | +116 | -2.4% | -137 | -1.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | +120 | -1.5% | -140 | -2.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 49.5 | -115 | -1.8% | -105 | -2.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 49.5 | -114 | -1.6% | -106 | -3.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 49.5 | -112 | -1.2% | -105 | -2.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | 50.5 | -104 | -1.6% | -115 | -2.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 50.5 | -110 | -2.9% | -110 | -1.6% |
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NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Clemson 56% to beat Syracuse (44%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Clemson the more likely winner at 56%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Syracuse a 44% chance of beating Clemson, against 56% for Clemson. Syracuse are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Clemson (5-3 so far) project to finish 7.2–4.8 and make the College Football Playoff in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Syracuse (4-4 so far) project to finish 5.3–6.7 and make the College Football Playoff in <1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAF team's projection →
How Clemson and Syracuse come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Clemson have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Syracuse have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 11 times since 2013: Clemson 9, Syracuse 2. The last meeting, on Sep 20, 2025, finished Syracuse 34, Clemson 21.
Clemson are 125-19 as favourite and 14-12 as underdog, and 65-17 on the road (79% of 82 games, 2011–2026).
Syracuse are 31-14 as favourite and 31-78 as underdog, and 40-45 at home (47% of 85 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CLEM | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 125-19 | 31-14 |
| As underdog | 14-12 | 31-78 |
| At home | 79-17 | 40-45 |
| On the road | 65-17 | 28-49 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NCAAF odds have moved →