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NBA Season Predictions & Playoff Odds

AccuScore simulates the rest of the NBA regular season every day and reports what happened across those runs: projected win-loss records, division title odds and playoff probabilities for all 30 teams. The table below is the current state of that forecast — it moves as results come in, so a team's playoff number today is not the one it had last week.

Projected playoff bracket

The most likely bracket across AccuScore's simulations of the rest of the season: each seed goes to the team that holds it most often, and the favourite advances from every game. The percentage beside a team is its chance to win that game if the matchup happens. Title odds further down add up every possible path, so the favourite to win it all is not always the team at the end of this bracket.

East · Play-In
7 v 8: the winner is the 7 seed
7Cleveland Cavaliers49%
8Orlando Magic51%
9 v 10: the loser is out
9Miami Heat48%
10Charlotte Hornets52%
For the 8 seed
7Cleveland Cavaliers51%
10Charlotte Hornets49%
First Round
1Detroit Pistons89%
8Cleveland Cavaliers11%
4Atlanta Hawks56%
5Philadelphia 76ers44%
3Toronto Raptors57%
6New York Knicks43%
2Boston Celtics81%
Conf. Semifinals
1Detroit Pistons72%
4Atlanta Hawks28%
2Boston Celtics53%
3Toronto Raptors47%
Conf. Finals
1Detroit Pistons49%
2Boston Celtics51%
West · Play-In
7 v 8: the winner is the 7 seed
7Golden State Warriors46%
8Denver Nuggets54%
9 v 10: the loser is out
9Memphis Grizzlies44%
10Los Angeles Clippers56%
For the 8 seed
7Golden State Warriors47%
10Los Angeles Clippers53%
NBA Finals
2San Antonio Spurs53%
2Boston Celtics47%

Projected NBA Finals winner: San Antonio Spurs

East projected seeds
  1. 1Detroit Pistons31%
  2. 2Boston Celtics20%
  3. 3Toronto Raptors13%
  4. 4Atlanta Hawks11%
  5. 5Philadelphia 76ers10%
  6. 6New York Knicks10%
  7. 7Cleveland Cavaliers10%
  8. 8Orlando Magic9%
  9. 9Miami Heat10%
  10. 10Charlotte Hornets10%

The percentage beside a seed is how often that team finishes in that exact seed. Seeds 7 to 10 play the Play-In for the last two playoff places.

NBA Finals odds

Each team's chance to reach every round, and to win it all. Top 12 by title chance.

TeamPlayoffsConf. SemifinalsConf. FinalsNBA FinalsWin
Boston Celtics94%69%43%25%13.5%
Detroit Pistons94%67%43%24%13.2%
Houston Rockets90%60%37%20%11.6%
San Antonio Spurs

Simulation run 11/03/2026 18:32:43.

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7Orlando Magic19%
First Round
1Houston Rockets91%
8Los Angeles Clippers9%
4Portland Trail Blazers48%
5Minnesota Timberwolves53%
3Oklahoma City Thunder54%
6Los Angeles Lakers46%
2San Antonio Spurs73%
7Denver Nuggets27%
Conf. Semifinals
1Houston Rockets62%
5Minnesota Timberwolves38%
2San Antonio Spurs56%
3Oklahoma City Thunder44%
Conf. Finals
1Houston Rockets49.6%
2San Antonio Spurs50.4%
West projected seeds
  1. 1Houston Rockets25%
  2. 2San Antonio Spurs16%
  3. 3Oklahoma City Thunder12%
  4. 4Portland Trail Blazers11%
  5. 5Minnesota Timberwolves10%
  6. 6Los Angeles Lakers9%
  7. 7Golden State Warriors9%
  8. 8Denver Nuggets9%
  9. 9Memphis Grizzlies10%
  10. 10Los Angeles Clippers10%
87%
59%
35%
20%
11.6%
Toronto Raptors83%49%25%12%5.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder80%44%23%11%5.7%
Portland Trail Blazers78%42%21%11%5.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves76%41%21%10%5.4%
New York Knicks71%35%16%7%3.3%
Atlanta Hawks74%37%17%8%3.3%
Los Angeles Lakers69%32%14%7%3.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers71%34%15%7%2.8%
Proj W/L — Projected final recordDiv% — Division title probabilityPlayoff% — Make playoffs probabilityConf% — Conference championship probabilityNBA Finals — Win NBA Finals probability

🏀 Eastern

ATL
TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%Conf%NBA Finals
1stBoston Celtics
Next: vs MIL, Nov 4 →
5-255.826.250%
94%
25.1%13.5%
Toronto Raptors
Next: at DEN, Nov 4 →
4-3
49.6
32.4
24%
83%
12.3%
5.8%
Philadelphia 76ers
Next: at DET, Nov 4 →
7-144.837.213%
70%
5.0%2.0%
New York Knicks
Next: vs CHI, Nov 4 →
3-444.737.312%
71%
7.3%3.3%
Brooklyn Nets
Next: vs CHA, Nov 4 →
1-627.154.91%
16%
0.4%0.1%
CEN
TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%Conf%NBA Finals
1stDetroit Pistons
Next: vs PHI, Nov 4 →
6-156.525.573%
94%
24.4%13.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers
Next: at OKC, Nov 4 →
4-344.737.321%
71%
6.5%2.8%
Indiana Pacers
Next: at MEM, Nov 4 →
2-630.451.63%
24%
0.8%0.3%
Chicago Bulls
Next: at NY, Nov 4 →
1-628.553.52%
19%
0.5%0.2%
Milwaukee Bucks
Next: at BOS, Nov 4 →
1-623.158.91%
9%
0.1%0.0%
SE
TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%Conf%NBA Finals
1stAtlanta Hawks
Next: at WAS, Nov 4 →
4-445.836.242%
74%
7.8%3.3%
Orlando Magic
Next: at PHO, Nov 5 →
2-539.942.121%
56%
4.0%1.5%
Miami Heat
Next: at LAC, Nov 4 →
2-539.742.321%
55%
3.7%1.4%
Charlotte Hornets
Next: at BRO, Nov 4 →
3-534.247.89%
35%
1.3%0.5%
Washington Wizards
Next: vs ATL, Nov 4 →
4-331.950.17%
27%
0.8%0.2%

🏀 Western

NW
TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%Conf%NBA Finals
1stOklahoma City Thunder
Next: vs CLE, Nov 4 →
5-251.031.031%
80%
11.0%5.7%
Portland Trail Blazers
Next: at PHO, Nov 4 →
5-150.331.730%
78%
10.9%5.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves
Next: at HOU, Nov 4 →
5-349.532.525%
76%
10.3%5.4%
Denver Nuggets
Next: vs TOR, Nov 4 →
3-344.637.413%
62%
5.6%2.6%
Utah Jazz
Next: at NO, Nov 4 →
1-626.855.21%
11%
0.3%0.1%
PAC
TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%Conf%NBA Finals
1stLos Angeles Lakers
Next: at SAC, Nov 4 →
6-247.134.941%
69%
6.7%3.1%
Golden State Warriors
Next: vs MIA, Nov 5 →
5-345.536.534%
SW
TeamW-LProj WProj LDiv%Playoff%Conf%NBA Finals
1stHouston Rockets
Next: vs MIN, Nov 4 →
7-155.926.147%
90%
20.4%11.6%
San Antonio Spurs
Next: vs DAL, Nov 4 →
5-254.527.540%

Powered by AccuScore • Updated Wednesday, November 4

63%
5.4%
2.6%
Los Angeles Clippers
Next: vs MIA, Nov 4 →
1-638.044.014%
39%
2.6%1.1%
Phoenix Suns
Next: vs POR, Nov 4 →
1-435.346.711%
30%
1.4%0.6%
Sacramento Kings
Next: vs LAL, Nov 4 →
1-621.860.21%
4%
0.0%0.0%
87%
19.9%
11.6%
Memphis Grizzlies
Next: vs IND, Nov 4 →
6-140.441.67%
45%
2.4%1.0%
New Orleans Pelicans
Next: vs UT, Nov 4 →
3-437.045.03%
35%
1.9%0.8%
Dallas Mavericks
Next: at SA, Nov 4 →
4-335.646.43%
30%
1.2%0.5%