Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction (Nov 4): Thunder 58%

NBA • Thu, Nov 5, 01:00

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers4-3

OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder5-2

Preview

Oklahoma City Thunder hosts Cleveland Cavaliers in a matchup where the simulation favours the home side. Shai Gilgeous Alexander has a 49% chance of exceeding 43 combined points, rebounds and assists, while James Harden projects at 50% to clear 28. The game turns on whether Cleveland's perimeter creation can overcome Oklahoma City's interior presence—Isaiah Hartenstein sits at 47% to beat 24 combined.

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Season outlook

Cleveland Cavaliers (4-3 so far) project to finish 44.7–37.3 and make the playoffs in 71% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Oklahoma City Thunder (5-2 so far) project to finish 51.0–31.0 and make the playoffs in 80% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
Cleveland Cavaliers	44.7–37.3	21%	71%
Oklahoma City Thunder	51.0–31.0	31%	80%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →

AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma City Thunder 58% to beat Cleveland Cavaliers (42%).

Projection updated Nov 4, 3:30 AM ET

Who will win Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder?

AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma City Thunder the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Oklahoma City Thunder beat Cleveland Cavaliers?

AccuScore's simulation gives Oklahoma City Thunder a 58% chance of beating Cleveland Cavaliers, against 42% for Cleveland Cavaliers. Oklahoma City Thunder are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Cleveland Cavaliers and Oklahoma City Thunder come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Cleveland CavaliersLWLWW

Nov 2vs Oklahoma City ThunderL 112–117
Oct 31at Milwaukee BucksW 136–111
Oct 29at Atlanta HawksL 111–114
Oct 28vs Washington WizardsW 121–111
Oct 26vs Minnesota TimberwolvesW 127–125

Cleveland Cavaliers have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).

Oklahoma City ThunderWLLWW

Nov 2at Cleveland CavaliersW 117–112
Oct 31at Houston RocketsL 98–119
Oct 28at Dallas MavericksL 96–120
Oct 26vs Phoenix SunsW 125–114
Oct 25vs Los Angeles ClippersW 108–101

Oklahoma City Thunder have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 32 times since 2010: Cleveland Cavaliers 13, Oklahoma City Thunder 19. The last meeting, on Nov 2, 2026, finished Oklahoma City Thunder 117, Cleveland Cavaliers 112.

Nov 2, 2026OKC 117 – 112 CLE
Feb 22, 2026CLE 113 – 121 OKC
Jan 19, 2026OKC 136 – 104 CLE
Jan 16, 2025CLE 114 – 134 OKC
Jan 8, 2025OKC 122 – 129 CLE

Every Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder meeting →

Betting trends

Cleveland Cavaliers are 470-220 as favourite and 195-446 as underdog, and 300-396 on the road (43% of 696 games, 2010–2026).

Oklahoma City Thunder are 682-252 as favourite and 161-272 as underdog, and 495-221 at home (69% of 716 games, 2010–2026).

Record	CLE	OKC
As favourite	470-220	682-252
As underdog	195-446	161-272
At home	406-297	495-221
On the road	300-396	378-333

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →