Bucks vs Celtics Prediction (Nov 4): Celtics 81%

NBA • Thu, Nov 5, 00:30

MIL

Milwaukee Bucks1-6

BOS

Boston Celtics5-2

Preview

The simulation favours Boston Celtics decisively in this matchup against Milwaukee Bucks. Jayson Tatum carries a 49% chance of exceeding 39 points, rebounds and assists, while Paul George has a 47% chance to surpass 29 in the same category—both well above what Milwaukee's leading contributors project to reach. Kel'el Ware checks in at 48% to beat 20 combined, but the Celtics' depth compounds the problem.

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AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Celtics 81% to beat Milwaukee Bucks (19%).

Projection updated Nov 4, 4:45 AM ET

Who will win Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics?

AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Celtics the more likely winner at 81%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Boston Celtics beat Milwaukee Bucks?

AccuScore's simulation gives Boston Celtics a 81% chance of beating Milwaukee Bucks, against 19% for Milwaukee Bucks. Boston Celtics are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Season outlook

Milwaukee Bucks (1-6 so far) project to finish 23.1–58.9 and make the playoffs in 9% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Boston Celtics (5-2 so far) project to finish 55.8–26.2 and make the playoffs in 94% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
Milwaukee Bucks	23.1–58.9	1%	9%
Boston Celtics	55.8–26.2	50%	94%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Milwaukee BucksLLLWL

Nov 2at Minnesota TimberwolvesL 100–112
Oct 31vs Cleveland CavaliersL 111–136
Oct 28vs Houston RocketsL 100–132
Oct 26vs Indiana PacersW 110–102
Oct 24at Philadelphia 76ersL 116–127

Milwaukee Bucks have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).

Boston CelticsLWWWW

Nov 2at Houston RocketsL 93–109
Nov 1at Orlando MagicW 108–97
Oct 30vs Chicago BullsW 125–111
Oct 27vs Brooklyn NetsW 125–124
Oct 26vs Chicago BullsW 134–99

Boston Celtics have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 70 times since 2010: Milwaukee Bucks 31, Boston Celtics 39. The last meeting, on Apr 3, 2026, finished Boston Celtics 133, Milwaukee Bucks 101.

Apr 3, 2026BOS 133 – 101 MIL
Mar 2, 2026BOS 108 – 81 MIL
Feb 1, 2026MIL 79 – 107 BOS
Dec 11, 2025BOS 101 – 116 MIL
Dec 6, 2024MIL 105 – 111 BOS

Every Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics meeting →

Betting trends

Milwaukee Bucks are 511-251 as favourite and 173-374 as underdog, and 306-379 on the road (45% of 685 games, 2010–2026).

Boston Celtics are 667-291 as favourite and 165-263 as underdog, and 496-234 at home (68% of 730 games, 2010–2026).

Record	MIL	BOS
As favourite	511-251	667-291
As underdog	173-374	165-263
At home	419-267	496-234
On the road	306-379	383-337

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →