NBA • Thu, Nov 5, 01:30
The Houston Rockets host the Minnesota Timberwolves in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Alperen Sengun projects a 50% chance of surpassing 40 combined points, rebounds and assists, while LaMelo Ball has a 47% chance at exceeding 28—a gap that captures how the model sees this game playing out. The outcome hinges on whether Minnesota can generate enough offensive creation; Ayo Dosunmu sits at 47% to top 27 combined, suggesting the Timberwolves will need secondary scorers to keep pace.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Rockets 70% to beat Minnesota Timberwolves (30%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Rockets the more likely winner at 70%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Houston Rockets a 70% chance of beating Minnesota Timberwolves, against 30% for Minnesota Timberwolves. Houston Rockets are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Minnesota Timberwolves (5-3 so far) project to finish 49.5–32.5 and make the playoffs in 76% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Houston Rockets (7-1 so far) project to finish 55.9–26.1 and make the playoffs in 90% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 49.5–32.5 | 25% | 76% |
| Houston Rockets | 55.9–26.1 | 47% | 90% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Minnesota Timberwolves and Houston Rockets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Minnesota Timberwolves have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
Houston Rockets have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 62 times since 2010: Minnesota Timberwolves 25, Houston Rockets 37. The last meeting, on Apr 10, 2026, finished Minnesota Timberwolves 136, Houston Rockets 132.
Minnesota Timberwolves are 347-206 as favourite and 208-507 as underdog, and 254-414 on the road (38% of 668 games, 2010–2026).
Houston Rockets are 546-250 as favourite and 179-334 as underdog, and 435-255 at home (63% of 690 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | MIN | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 347-206 | 546-250 |
| As underdog | 208-507 | 179-334 |
| At home | 335-331 | 435-255 |
| On the road | 254-414 | 309-376 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →