NBA • Thu, Nov 5, 03:30
Miami Heat travel to Los Angeles Clippers in a matchup where the simulation favors the visitors. Giannis Antetokounmpo projects a 48% chance to exceed 37 points and rebounds, while Darius Garland has a 48% chance to surpass 35 points, rebounds and assists—both stars carrying heavy offensive loads. The game hinges on depth scoring: Pelle Larsson has a 49% chance to top 22 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Rui Hachimura sits at 49% for the same threshold, suggesting the outcome depends on secondary contributors matching that production.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Miami Heat (2-5 so far) project to finish 39.7–42.3 and make the playoffs in 55% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Los Angeles Clippers (1-6 so far) project to finish 38.0–44.0 and make the playoffs in 39% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | 39.7–42.3 | 21% | 55% |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 38.0–44.0 | 14% | 39% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Miami Heat 58% to beat Los Angeles Clippers (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Miami Heat the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Clippers a 42% chance of beating Miami Heat, against 58% for Miami Heat. Los Angeles Clippers are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Miami Heat and Los Angeles Clippers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Miami Heat have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
Los Angeles Clippers have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 31 times since 2011: Miami Heat 14, Los Angeles Clippers 17. The last meeting, on Dec 1, 2025, finished Los Angeles Clippers 123, Miami Heat 140.
Miami Heat are 588-273 as favourite and 208-300 as underdog, and 364-355 on the road (51% of 719 games, 2010–2026).
Los Angeles Clippers are 605-253 as favourite and 162-298 as underdog, and 453-243 at home (65% of 696 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | MIA | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 588-273 | 605-253 |
| As underdog | 208-300 | 162-298 |
| At home | 470-245 | 453-243 |
| On the road | 364-355 | 351-343 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →