Raptors vs Nuggets Prediction (Nov 4): Nuggets 59%

NBA • Thu, Nov 5, 02:00

TOR

Toronto Raptors4-3

DEN

Denver Nuggets3-3

Preview

The Denver Nuggets host the Toronto Raptors in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. Jamal Murray has a 50% chance of exceeding 31 points, rebounds and assists, while Scottie Barnes projects at 49% to surpass 38 combined. The game hinges on whether Toronto's perimeter creation can keep pace with Denver's offensive execution.

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AccuScore's simulation makes Denver Nuggets 59% to beat Toronto Raptors (41%).

Projection updated Nov 4, 4:50 AM ET

Who will win Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets?

AccuScore's simulation makes Denver Nuggets the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Denver Nuggets beat Toronto Raptors?

AccuScore's simulation gives Denver Nuggets a 59% chance of beating Toronto Raptors, against 41% for Toronto Raptors. Denver Nuggets are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Season outlook

Toronto Raptors (4-3 so far) project to finish 49.6–32.4 and make the playoffs in 83% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Denver Nuggets (3-3 so far) project to finish 44.6–37.4 and make the playoffs in 62% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
Toronto Raptors	49.6–32.4	24%	83%
Denver Nuggets	44.6–37.4	13%	62%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Toronto Raptors and Denver Nuggets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Toronto RaptorsWLLWL

Nov 2at Los Angeles ClippersW 125–118
Nov 1at Los Angeles LakersL 125–131
Oct 30vs Orlando MagicL 114–121
Oct 28vs Orlando MagicW 129–99
Oct 25at Minnesota TimberwolvesL 94–117

Toronto Raptors have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-L, most recent first).

Denver NuggetsLWWLW

Nov 2vs Portland Trail BlazersL 110–118
Oct 30at Phoenix SunsW 127–120
Oct 28at New Orleans PelicansW 104–91
Oct 26vs Golden State WarriorsL 114–134
Oct 24vs New Orleans PelicansW 141–135

Denver Nuggets have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 32 times since 2010: Toronto Raptors 12, Denver Nuggets 20. The last meeting, on Mar 20, 2026, finished Toronto Raptors 115, Denver Nuggets 121.

Mar 20, 2026TOR 115 – 121 DEN
Dec 31, 2025DEN 106 – 103 TOR
Nov 4, 2024TOR 119 – 121 DEN
Oct 28, 2024DEN 127 – 125 TOR
Mar 11, 2024TOR 119 – 125 DEN

Every Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets meeting →

Betting trends

Toronto Raptors are 480-218 as favourite and 205-410 as underdog, and 310-378 on the road (45% of 688 games, 2010–2026).

Denver Nuggets are 549-252 as favourite and 206-320 as underdog, and 469-229 at home (67% of 698 games, 2010–2026).

Record	TOR	DEN
As favourite	480-218	549-252
As underdog	205-410	206-320
At home	409-284	469-229
On the road	310-378	329-367

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →