Chicago Bulls
1-6
New York Knicks
3-4
Win Probability
The New York Knicks host the Chicago Bulls in a matchup the simulation favors decisively. Karl Anthony Towns projects a 47% chance to exceed 37 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Jalen Brunson sits at 49% for the same mark—the Knicks' offensive weapons will need to sustain that standard for New York to pull away. On the Chicago side, Caleb Wilson carries a 49% chance to surpass 30 combined, but the Bulls will struggle to match New York's depth. AccuScore's model has returned 69% on similar home-side calls across 1,273 graded games. For Chicago to upset, Norman Powell and the visiting Bulls would need to hold the Knicks' role players in check while generating consistent offense themselves.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
1H CHI ML
CHI +250
-1.9% EV
26.6% leads · push 3.1%
Betfair ↗
1H NY ML
NY -400
-4.5% EV
70.3% leads · push 3.1%
Betfair ↗
2-way moneyline: a tie at the half returns the stake, so the tie is priced as a push.
1H Spread
CHI +6.5 +100
-0.0% EV
50.0% covers
Betfair ↗
1H Spread
NY -6.5 -137
-6.7% EV
50.0% covers
Betfair ↗
1H Total
O 113.5 -118
+10.5% EV
65.5% over
William Hill ↗
1H Total
U 113.5 -118
-18.2% EV
34.5% under
William Hill ↗
| Book | Line | NY | EV | CHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -11.5 | -104 | -3.0% | -108 | +0.2% |
| Betfair ↗ | -12.5 | -111 | -7.5% | -111 | +2.6% |
| Betano ↗ | -12.5 | -108 | -7.0% | -114 | +1.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | -12 | -109 | -5.5% | -125 | -1.5% |
| Novig ↗ | -11.5 | -108 | -3.9% | +102 | +2.6% |
| Book | NY | EV | CHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -564 | -3.4% | +456 | +8.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -552 | -3.3% | +465 | +9.0% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 233.5 | -114 | -3.4% | -103 | -0.3% |
| Betfair ↗ | 234.5 | -111 | -4.9% | -111 | -0.0% |
| Betano ↗ | 233.5 | -115 | -3.6% | -108 | -1.5% |
| bet365 ↗ | 233.5 | -112 | -3.1% | -109 | -1.7% |
| William Hill ↗ | 233.5 | -118 | -4.2% | -118 | -3.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Knicks 79% to beat Chicago Bulls (21%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Knicks the more likely winner at 79%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Knicks a 79% chance of beating Chicago Bulls, against 21% for Chicago Bulls. New York Knicks are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Chicago Bulls (1-6 so far) project to finish 28.5–53.5 and make the playoffs in 19% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
New York Knicks (3-4 so far) project to finish 44.7–37.3 and make the playoffs in 71% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bulls | 28.5–53.5 | 2% | 19% |
| New York Knicks | 44.7–37.3 | 12% | 71% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Chicago Bulls and New York Knicks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Chicago Bulls have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
New York Knicks have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 57 times since 2010: Chicago Bulls 27, New York Knicks 30. The last meeting, on Oct 28, 2026, finished New York Knicks 133, Chicago Bulls 127.
Chicago Bulls are 400-202 as favourite and 230-436 as underdog, and 295-369 on the road (44% of 664 games, 2010–2026).
New York Knicks are 368-199 as favourite and 227-484 as underdog, and 352-321 at home (52% of 673 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | CHI | NY |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 400-202 | 368-199 |
| As underdog | 230-436 | 227-484 |
| At home | 364-301 | 352-321 |
| On the road | 295-369 | 281-393 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →