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← Today's Edges
NBA•Fri, Nov 6 • 3:00 AM
MIA

Miami Heat

2-5

VS
GS

Golden State Warriors

5-3

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookGSEVMIAEV
Kalshi ↗-191—+152—
Polymarket ↗-179—+155—

Betting Splits

Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.

Moneyline
Kalshi753 trades · $8k
MIA
29% · 21%
GS
71% · 79%
Money on MIA up 1 pts since the first reading

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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NBA

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

Season outlook

Miami Heat (2-5 so far) project to finish 39.7–42.3 and make the playoffs in 55% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Golden State Warriors (5-3 so far) project to finish 45.5–36.5 and make the playoffs in 63% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordDivision titlePlayoffs
Miami Heat39.7–42.321%55%
Golden State Warriors45.5–36.534%63%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Miami HeatLWWLL
  • Nov 2at Los Angeles LakersL 117–138
  • Oct 30vs Indiana PacersW 145–125
  • Oct 28at Atlanta HawksW 129–117
  • Oct 26vs Dallas MavericksL 109–113
  • Oct 24at Charlotte HornetsL 110–115

Miami Heat have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).

Golden State WarriorsWWWWW
  • Nov 2vs Phoenix SunsW 116–113
  • Nov 1vs Los Angeles ClippersW 124–112
  • Oct 30vs Los Angeles LakersW 112–95
  • Oct 28at Minnesota TimberwolvesW 119–114
  • Oct 26at Denver NuggetsW 134–114

Golden State Warriors have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 31 times since 2010: Miami Heat 14, Golden State Warriors 17. The last meeting, on Jan 19, 2026, finished Miami Heat 112, Golden State Warriors 135.

  • Jan 19, 2026MIA 112 – 135 GS
  • Nov 19, 2025GS 96 – 110 MIA
  • Mar 25, 2025GS 86 – 112 MIA
  • Jan 7, 2025MIA 114 – 98 GS
  • Mar 26, 2024GS 113 – 92 MIA
Every Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors meeting →

Betting trends

Miami Heat are 588-273 as favourite and 208-300 as underdog, and 364-355 on the road (51% of 719 games, 2010–2026).

Golden State Warriors are 665-236 as favourite and 164-289 as underdog, and 488-224 at home (69% of 712 games, 2010–2026).

RecordMIAGS
As favourite588-273665-236
As underdog208-300164-289
At home470-245488-224
On the road364-355375-336

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →