College Basketball · West Coast
AccuScore projects Saint Mary's to finish 23.3–6.7 with a 68% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.4% chance of winning the national championship. Next: 87% to win at home to North Dakota State.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 67.5% | |
| Play in the First Round | 62.7% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 34.2% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 15.1% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 6.4% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 2.4% | |
| Reach the Championship | 1.0% | |
| Win the national title | 0.4% |
Likeliest seed lines: 11 (6%), 12 (6%), 6 (6%), 7 (6%).
| Tip-off | Opponent | SMC win | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs North Dakota State | 87% | 🔒 Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Illinois State | W 90–85 | 🔒 Pro | ✓ |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Mary's | 23.3–6.7 | 50% | 68% |
| Santa Clara | 22.6–8.4 | 36% | 54% |
| San Francisco | 18.7–12.3 | 10% | 17% |
| Seattle U | 17.5–11.5 | 10% | 17% |
| Loyola Marymount | 14.6–16.4 | 3% | 5% |
| Pacific | 14.1–15.9 | 4% |
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| 7% |
| Pepperdine | 12.0–18.0 | 1% | 2% |
| Denver | 11.2–18.8 | 1% | 2% |
| San Diego | 10.2–18.8 | 1% | 1% |
| Portland | 9.4–19.6 | 1% | 1% |