Illinois State
85
Saint Mary's
90
| Team | H1 | H2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 39 | 38 | 85 |
| SMC | 33 | 44 | 90 |
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | SMC | EV | ILST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -305 | +0.1% | +245 | -7.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -285 | +1.0% | +230 | -9.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -300 | +0.3% | +240 | -8.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | -305 | +0.1% | +240 | -8.4% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | -280 | +1.2% | +230 | -9.6% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 148.5 | -105 | -14.1% | -115 | +9.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -14.9% | -110 | +10.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 147.5 | -115 | -13.5% | -105 | +9.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | 148 | -110 | -13.7% | -110 | +9.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 148.5 | -105 | -14.1% | -115 | +9.1% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 75.5%
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NCAAB
Final · ILST 85–90 SMC ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Saint Mary's 76% to beat Illinois State (25%). Final score: Illinois State 85, Saint Mary's 90.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Saint Mary's the more likely winner at 76%. The game finished Illinois State 85, Saint Mary's 90.
AccuScore's simulation gives Saint Mary's a 76% chance of beating Illinois State, against 25% for Illinois State. It finished Saint Mary's 90, Illinois State 85.
Illinois State (0-1 so far) project to finish 16.5–13.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 20% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Saint Mary's (1-0 so far) project to finish 23.3–6.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 68% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State | 16.5–13.5 | 12% | 20% |
| Saint Mary's | 23.3–6.7 | 50% | 68% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →