NFL • Tue, Nov 17, 01:15
The Los Angeles Chargers travel to Baltimore to face the Ravens, and the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. AccuScore's model sees Baltimore winning in 50,000 runs, though the margin turns on whether Los Angeles can sustain enough offensive pressure to keep pace. In games where the simulation has favored one team this strongly, that side won 64% of the time across 1,454 past matchups.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NFL
AccuScore's simulation makes Baltimore Ravens 66% to beat Los Angeles Chargers (33%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Baltimore Ravens the more likely winner at 66%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Baltimore Ravens a 66% chance of beating Los Angeles Chargers, against 33% for Los Angeles Chargers. Baltimore Ravens are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Los Angeles Chargers (0-8 so far) project to finish 4.4–12.6 and make the playoffs in 1% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Baltimore Ravens (4-5 so far) project to finish 7.4–9.6 and make the playoffs in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4.4–12.6 | <1% | 1% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 7.4–9.6 | 3% | 18% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →
How Los Angeles Chargers and Baltimore Ravens come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Los Angeles Chargers have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Baltimore Ravens have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 9 times since 2011: Los Angeles Chargers 3, Baltimore Ravens 6. The last meeting, on Nov 25, 2024, finished Baltimore Ravens 30, Los Angeles Chargers 23.
Los Angeles Chargers are 85-60 as favourite and 39-76 as underdog, and 61-72 on the road (46% of 133 games, 2011–2026).
Baltimore Ravens are 133-62 as favourite and 28-48 as underdog, and 88-46 at home (66% of 134 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | LAC | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 85-60 | 133-62 |
| As underdog | 39-76 | 28-48 |
| At home | 63-64 | 88-46 |
| On the road | 61-72 | 73-64 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →