Portland Trail Blazers
5-1
118
Denver Nuggets
3-3
110
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 19 | 39 | 27 | 33 | 118 |
| DEN | 31 | 35 | 21 | 23 | 110 |
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | DEN | EV | POR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -4 | -110 | -4.0% | -102 | +1.4% |
| Betfair ↗ | -4.5 | -110 | -5.5% | -125 | -1.9% |
| Betano ↗ | -4.5 | -108 | -5.1% | -114 | +0.1% |
| bet365 ↗ | -4 | -125 | -6.6% | -111 | -0.6% |
| Novig ↗ | -4.5 | +104 | -2.5% | -108 | +1.4% |
| Book | DEN | EV | POR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -167 | -3.8% | +134 | -0.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -164 | -3.5% | +143 | +1.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 232 | -109 | -5.3% | -105 | +2.1% |
| Betfair ↗ | 231.5 | -111 | -4.9% | -111 | -0.1% |
| Betano ↗ | 231.5 | -111 | -4.9% | -110 | +0.1% |
| bet365 ↗ | 231.5 | -112 | -5.0% | -109 | +0.3% |
| William Hill ↗ | 231.5 | -118 | -6.1% | -118 | -1.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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NBA
Final · POR 118–110 DEN ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Denver Nuggets 58% to beat Portland Trail Blazers (42%). Final score: Portland Trail Blazers 118, Denver Nuggets 110.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Denver Nuggets the more likely winner at 58%. The game finished Portland Trail Blazers 118, Denver Nuggets 110.
AccuScore's simulation gives Denver Nuggets a 58% chance of beating Portland Trail Blazers, against 42% for Portland Trail Blazers. It finished Denver Nuggets 110, Portland Trail Blazers 118.
Portland Trail Blazers (5-1 so far) project to finish 50.3–31.7 and make the playoffs in 78% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Denver Nuggets (3-3 so far) project to finish 44.6–37.4 and make the playoffs in 62% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Trail Blazers | 50.3–31.7 | 30% | 78% |
| Denver Nuggets | 44.6–37.4 | 13% | 62% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Portland Trail Blazers and Denver Nuggets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Portland Trail Blazers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Denver Nuggets have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 75 times since 2010: Portland Trail Blazers 34, Denver Nuggets 41. The last meeting, on Apr 6, 2026, finished Portland Trail Blazers 132, Denver Nuggets 137.
Portland Trail Blazers are 416-181 as favourite and 219-469 as underdog, and 274-411 on the road (40% of 685 games, 2010–2026).
Denver Nuggets are 549-252 as favourite and 206-320 as underdog, and 469-229 at home (67% of 698 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | POR | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 416-181 | 549-252 |
| As underdog | 219-469 | 206-320 |
| At home | 398-275 | 469-229 |
| On the road | 274-411 | 329-367 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →