NBA
Final · SAC 115–100 DAL ·
Sacramento Kings
1-6
115
Dallas Mavericks
4-3
100
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 19 | 35 | 27 | 34 | 115 |
| DAL | 18 | 35 | 21 | 26 | 100 |
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | DAL | EV | SAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -8 | +103 | +2.8% | -116 | -5.2% |
| Betfair ↗ | -7.5 | -111 | +0.9% | -111 | -5.9% |
| Betano ↗ | -7.5 | -111 | +0.9% | -110 | -5.7% |
| Novig ↗ | -7.5 | +102 | +4.1% | -104 | -4.5% |
| ProphetX ↗ | -7.5 | -100 | +3.6% | -106 | -4.9% |
| Book | DAL | EV | SAC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -306 | -0.4% | +252 | -5.6% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -316 | -0.8% | +271 | -3.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 232 | -109 | -0.0% | -103 | -2.8% |
| Betfair ↗ | 232.5 | -111 | -1.6% | -111 | -3.3% |
| Betano ↗ | 233.5 | -108 | -3.0% | -114 | -1.9% |
| William Hill ↗ | 232.5 | -118 | -3.0% | -118 | -4.6% |
| Novig ↗ | 232.5 | +102 | +1.4% | -104 | -1.8% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Mavericks 75% to beat Sacramento Kings (25%). Final score: Sacramento Kings 115, Dallas Mavericks 100.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Mavericks the more likely winner at 75%. The game finished Sacramento Kings 115, Dallas Mavericks 100.
AccuScore's simulation gives Dallas Mavericks a 75% chance of beating Sacramento Kings, against 25% for Sacramento Kings. It finished Dallas Mavericks 100, Sacramento Kings 115.
Sacramento Kings (1-6 so far) project to finish 21.8–60.2 and make the playoffs in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Dallas Mavericks (4-3 so far) project to finish 35.6–46.4 and make the playoffs in 30% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Kings | 21.8–60.2 | 1% | 4% |
| Dallas Mavericks | 35.6–46.4 | 3% | 30% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Sacramento Kings and Dallas Mavericks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Sacramento Kings have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Dallas Mavericks have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 56 times since 2010: Sacramento Kings 25, Dallas Mavericks 31. The last meeting, on Feb 26, 2026, finished Sacramento Kings 130, Dallas Mavericks 121.
Sacramento Kings are 229-166 as favourite and 247-585 as underdog, and 226-421 on the road (35% of 647 games, 2010–2026).
Dallas Mavericks are 440-218 as favourite and 227-420 as underdog, and 390-293 at home (57% of 683 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | SAC | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 229-166 | 440-218 |
| As underdog | 247-585 | 227-420 |
| At home | 287-358 | 390-293 |
| On the road | 226-421 | 310-380 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →