NBA
Final · ATL 108–104 IND ·
Atlanta Hawks
4-4
108
Indiana Pacers
2-6
104
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 37 | 31 | 19 | 21 | 108 |
| IND | 29 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 104 |
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | IND | EV | ATL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +10.5 | -108 | +2.3% | -104 | -5.2% |
| Betfair ↗ | +9.5 | +100 | +0.9% | -137 | -7.5% |
| Betano ↗ | +10.5 | -115 | +0.8% | -105 | -5.4% |
| bet365 ↗ | +9.5 | -105 | -0.3% | -135 | -7.3% |
| Novig ↗ | +10.5 | -111 | +1.6% | +106 | -2.9% |
| Book | IND | EV | ATL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +331 | +1.9% | -430 | -3.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +338 | +2.8% | -396 | -2.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 227 | -109 | +6.9% | -103 | -9.8% |
| Betfair ↗ | 227.5 | -111 | +5.1% | -111 | -10.1% |
| Betano ↗ | 227.5 | -110 | +5.4% | -111 | -10.1% |
| bet365 ↗ | 229.5 | -111 | +1.0% | -110 | -5.8% |
| William Hill ↗ | 227.5 | -118 | +3.6% | -118 | -11.2% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Atlanta Hawks 76% to beat Indiana Pacers (24%). Final score: Atlanta Hawks 108, Indiana Pacers 104.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Atlanta Hawks the more likely winner at 76%. The game finished Atlanta Hawks 108, Indiana Pacers 104.
AccuScore's simulation gives Indiana Pacers a 24% chance of beating Atlanta Hawks, against 76% for Atlanta Hawks. It finished Indiana Pacers 104, Atlanta Hawks 108.
Atlanta Hawks (4-4 so far) project to finish 45.8–36.2 and make the playoffs in 74% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Indiana Pacers (2-6 so far) project to finish 30.4–51.6 and make the playoffs in 24% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks | 45.8–36.2 | 42% | 74% |
| Indiana Pacers | 30.4–51.6 | 3% | 24% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Atlanta Hawks and Indiana Pacers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Atlanta Hawks have won 1 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
Indiana Pacers have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 63 times since 2010: Atlanta Hawks 31, Indiana Pacers 32. The last meeting, on Jan 31, 2026, finished Atlanta Hawks 124, Indiana Pacers 129.
Atlanta Hawks are 403-214 as favourite and 246-446 as underdog, and 288-404 on the road (42% of 692 games, 2010–2026).
Indiana Pacers are 451-226 as favourite and 227-416 as underdog, and 411-280 at home (59% of 691 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | ATL | IND |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 403-214 | 451-226 |
| As underdog | 246-446 | 227-416 |
| At home | 395-288 | 411-280 |
| On the road | 288-404 | 295-399 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →