NBA
Final · OKC 117–112 CLE ·
Next Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction →
Oklahoma City Thunder
5-2
117
Cleveland Cavaliers
4-3
112
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 26 | 33 | 31 | 27 | 117 |
| CLE | 30 | 18 | 36 | 28 | 112 |
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | CLE | EV | OKC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -4 | -106 | -0.2% | -104 | -2.2% |
| Betfair ↗ | -4.5 | -110 | -2.5% | -125 | -4.8% |
| Betano ↗ | -4.5 | -115 | -3.4% | -105 | -1.0% |
| bet365 ↗ | -4 | -120 | -2.9% | -111 | -3.6% |
| Novig ↗ | -4.5 | +100 | -0.2% | -102 | -0.3% |
| Book | CLE | EV | OKC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -175 | -2.9% | +146 | -0.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -171 | -2.5% | +148 | -0.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 229 | -111 | -1.3% | -101 | -1.4% |
| Betfair ↗ | 229.5 | -111 | -2.3% | -111 | -2.7% |
| Betano ↗ | 230.5 | -108 | -3.5% | -114 | -1.5% |
| bet365 ↗ | 229 | -125 | -3.8% | -106 | -2.6% |
| William Hill ↗ | 228.5 | -125 | -3.0% | -110 | -4.4% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Cleveland Cavaliers 60% to beat Oklahoma City Thunder (40%). Final score: Oklahoma City Thunder 117, Cleveland Cavaliers 112.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Cleveland Cavaliers the more likely winner at 60%. The game finished Oklahoma City Thunder 117, Cleveland Cavaliers 112.
AccuScore's simulation gives Cleveland Cavaliers a 60% chance of beating Oklahoma City Thunder, against 40% for Oklahoma City Thunder. It finished Cleveland Cavaliers 112, Oklahoma City Thunder 117.
Oklahoma City Thunder (5-2 so far) project to finish 51.0–31.0 and make the playoffs in 80% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Cleveland Cavaliers (4-3 so far) project to finish 44.7–37.3 and make the playoffs in 71% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 51.0–31.0 | 31% | 80% |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 44.7–37.3 | 21% | 71% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Oklahoma City Thunder and Cleveland Cavaliers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Oklahoma City Thunder have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Cleveland Cavaliers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 31 times since 2010: Oklahoma City Thunder 18, Cleveland Cavaliers 13. The last meeting, on Feb 22, 2026, finished Cleveland Cavaliers 113, Oklahoma City Thunder 121.
Oklahoma City Thunder are 682-252 as favourite and 161-272 as underdog, and 378-333 on the road (53% of 711 games, 2010–2026).
Cleveland Cavaliers are 470-220 as favourite and 195-446 as underdog, and 406-297 at home (58% of 703 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | OKC | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 682-252 | 470-220 |
| As underdog | 161-272 | 195-446 |
| At home | 495-221 | 406-297 |
| On the road | 378-333 | 300-396 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →