NBA
Final · TOR 125–131 LAL ·
Toronto Raptors
4-3
125
Los Angeles Lakers
6-2
131
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 23 | 31 | 28 | 43 | 125 |
| LAL | 36 | 30 | 38 | 27 | 131 |
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
| Book | Line | LAL | EV | TOR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -4 | +101 | -3.3% | -114 | +0.4% |
| Betfair ↗ | -3.5 | -111 | -4.5% | -111 | -0.5% |
| Betano ↗ | -3.5 | -118 | -5.8% | -105 | +0.9% |
| Novig ↗ | -3.5 | +100 | -2.1% | -102 | +1.6% |
| ProphetX ↗ | -3.5 | -101 | -2.3% | -106 | +0.6% |
| Book | LAL | EV | TOR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -161 | -4.9% | +134 | +1.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -158 | -4.5% | +137 | +2.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 223 | -108 | +3.3% | -108 | -7.0% |
| Betfair ↗ | 224.5 | -111 | -0.6% | -111 | -4.4% |
| Betano ↗ | 224.5 | -110 | -0.4% | -111 | -4.4% |
| William Hill ↗ | 223.5 | -118 | +0.1% | -118 | -7.7% |
| Novig ↗ | 223.5 | +104 | +5.3% | -106 | -5.5% |
Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.
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AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Lakers 56% to beat Toronto Raptors (44%). Final score: Toronto Raptors 125, Los Angeles Lakers 131.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Lakers the more likely winner at 56%. The game finished Toronto Raptors 125, Los Angeles Lakers 131.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Lakers a 56% chance of beating Toronto Raptors, against 44% for Toronto Raptors. It finished Los Angeles Lakers 131, Toronto Raptors 125.
Toronto Raptors (4-3 so far) project to finish 49.6–32.4 and make the playoffs in 83% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Los Angeles Lakers (6-2 so far) project to finish 47.1–34.9 and make the playoffs in 69% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Raptors | 49.6–32.4 | 24% | 83% |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 47.1–34.9 | 41% | 69% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NBA team's projection →
How Toronto Raptors and Los Angeles Lakers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Toronto Raptors have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
Los Angeles Lakers have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 31 times since 2010: Toronto Raptors 16, Los Angeles Lakers 15. The last meeting, on Jan 18, 2026, finished Toronto Raptors 93, Los Angeles Lakers 110.
Toronto Raptors are 480-218 as favourite and 205-410 as underdog, and 310-378 on the road (45% of 688 games, 2010–2026).
Los Angeles Lakers are 430-220 as favourite and 212-440 as underdog, and 390-298 at home (57% of 688 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | TOR | LAL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 480-218 | 430-220 |
| As underdog | 205-410 | 212-440 |
| At home | 409-284 | 390-298 |
| On the road | 310-378 | 284-396 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →