Dolphins vs Patriots Prediction, Odds & Live Score — Jan 9

← Today's Edges

NFL•Sun, Jan 10 • 12:00 AM

MIA

Miami Dolphins

1-6

New England Patriots

5-3

Where to Bet

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Season outlook

Miami Dolphins (1-6 so far) project to finish 4.6–12.4 and make the playoffs in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

New England Patriots (5-3 so far) project to finish 10.2–6.8 and make the playoffs in 74% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Team	Projected record	Division title	Playoffs
Miami Dolphins	4.6–12.4	<1%	2%
New England Patriots	10.2–6.8	27%	74%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Miami DolphinsLWLLL

Nov 1vs New England PatriotsL 19–24
Oct 25at New York JetsW 28–25
Oct 11vs Cincinnati BengalsL 24–31
Oct 4at Minnesota VikingsL 10–15
Sep 27vs Kansas City ChiefsL 10–24

Miami Dolphins have won 1 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-L, most recent first).

New England PatriotsWLWWW

Nov 1at Miami DolphinsW 24–19
Oct 22at Chicago BearsL 24–30
Oct 18vs New York JetsW 26–19
Oct 11vs Las Vegas RaidersW 45–17
Oct 4at Buffalo BillsW 29–26

New England Patriots have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 31 times since 2011: Miami Dolphins 14, New England Patriots 17. The last meeting, on Nov 1, 2026, finished New England Patriots 24, Miami Dolphins 19.

Nov 1, 2026NE 24 – 19 MIA
Jan 4, 2026MIA 10 – 38 NE
Sep 14, 2025NE 33 – 27 MIA
Nov 24, 2024NE 15 – 34 MIA
Oct 6, 2024MIA 15 – 10 NE

Every Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots meeting →

Betting trends

Miami Dolphins are 63-30 as favourite and 54-107 as underdog, and 45-84 on the road (35% of 129 games, 2011–2026).

New England Patriots are 152-50 as favourite and 27-49 as underdog, and 100-45 at home (69% of 145 games, 2011–2026).

Record	MIA	NE
As favourite	63-30	152-50
As underdog	54-107	27-49
At home	73-53	100-45
On the road	45-84	80-54

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →