Elversberg
4
Borussia M'gladbach
3
Win Probability
Moneyline
ELV
+280
20.4% win prob
EV -11.2%
Pinnacle
Draw
Draw
+305
30% prob
EV +11.4%
Marathon
Moneyline
BOR
-102
49.3% win prob
EV -1.2%
1xBet
Projected score
0.8 – 1.3
| Book | ELV | EV | Draw | EV | BOR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +280 | -11.2% | +296 | +10.0% | -105 | -1.9% |
| William Hill ↗ | +260 | -13.3% | +275 | +6.8% | -118 | -4.5% |
| Marathon ↗ | +270 | -12.3% | +305 | +11.4% | -105 | -1.9% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +262 | -13.1% | +303 | +11.1% | -102 | -1.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3 | -139 | -26.3% | +122 | +31.0% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 3 | -154 | -26.8% | +107 | +26.2% |
| Marathon ↗ | 3 | -152 | -26.8% | +111 | +27.5% |
| 1xBet ↗ | 3 | -139 | -26.3% | +115 | +28.8% |
| # | Player | Min | G | A | Pss | Sv | Rat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moritz NicolasG | 96 | — | — | 31(24) | 6 | 6.7 |
| 6 | Ko ItakuraD | 96 | — | — | 42(40) | — | 5.3 |
| 4 | Kevin DiksD | 96 | — | — | 37(30) | — | 6.3 |
| 26 | Lukas UllrichD | 81 | — | — | 23(15) | — | 6.2 |
| 29 | Joe ScallyD | 77 | 1 | — | 30(27) | — | 7.3 |
| 16 | Philipp SanderM | 96 | — | — | 49(42) | — | 7.2 |
| 34 | Mathieu Nguefack M | 96 | — | — | 35(31) | — | 6 |
| 38 | Hugo BolinM | 96 | 2 | — | 31(29) | — | 9.2 |
| 9 | Franck HonoratM | 69 | — | 2 | 31(23) | — | 7.6 |
| 36 | Wael MohyaM | 69 | — | — | 13(10) | — | 6.3 |
| 11 | Tim KleindienstF | 77 | — | — | 15(6) | — | 7 |
| Substitutes | |||||||
| 33 | Daniel BatzG sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Jan LeszczyńskiD sub | 19 | — | — | 11(7) | — | 6.2 |
| 20 | David HeroldD sub | 15 | — | — | 6(6) | — | 6.5 |
| 2 | Fabio ChiarodiaD sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 25 | Robin HackM sub | 27 | — | — | 2(1) | — | 6.3 |
| 7 | Kevin StögerM sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 19 | Nicolas-Gerrit KühnF sub | 27 | — | — | 1(1) | — | 7.2 |
| 3 | Isac LidbergF sub | 19 | — | — | 6(4) | — | 6.3 |
| 18 | Shuto MachinoF sub | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 30.3%
Bundesliga
Final · ELV 4–3 BOR ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Borussia M'gladbach 49% to win, Elversberg 20%, with a 30% chance of a draw. Projected score: Elversberg 0.8, Borussia M'gladbach 1.3. The single most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% of simulations). Final score: Elversberg 4, Borussia M'gladbach 3.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Borussia M'gladbach the more likely winner at 49%, with a 30% chance of a draw. The game finished Elversberg 4, Borussia M'gladbach 3.
AccuScore's simulation gives Borussia M'gladbach a 49% chance of beating Elversberg, with 20% for Elversberg and 30% for a draw. It finished Borussia M'gladbach 3, Elversberg 4.
AccuScore projects Elversberg 0.8, Borussia M'gladbach 1.3, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline.