NFL • Fri, Nov 13, 01:15
The New York Giants host the Washington Commanders in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the home side. Across 50,000 simulations, AccuScore projects a low-scoring affair that hinges on whether either offense can sustain drives; the model's outlook favors the Giants but leaves genuine uncertainty for a visiting team that could steal the result with disciplined execution. For Washington to pull off the upset, it would need to limit the Giants' scoring opportunities and capitalize on its own chances in what figures to be a tight, grinding contest.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NFL
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Giants 57% to beat Washington Commanders (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Giants the more likely winner at 57%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Giants a 57% chance of beating Washington Commanders, against 42% for Washington Commanders. New York Giants are at home and favoured on these numbers.
New York Giants (5-2 so far) project to finish 9.0–7.0 and make the playoffs in 67% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Giants | 9.0–7.0 | 64% | 67% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →
How Washington Commanders and New York Giants come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Washington Commanders have won 1 of their last 5 (L-W-L-D-L, most recent first).
New York Giants have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-D-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 31 times since 2011: Washington Commanders 13, New York Giants 16, 2 tied. The last meeting, on Oct 11, 2026, finished New York Giants 27, Washington Commanders 27.
Washington Commanders are 44-30-2 as favourite and 58-122-1 as underdog, and 50-77-2 on the road (39% of 129 games, 2011–2026).
New York Giants are 47-30 as favourite and 52-126-2 as underdog, and 56-70-1 at home (44% of 127 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | WAS | NYG |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 44-30-2 | 47-30 |
| As underdog | 58-122-1 | 52-126-2 |
| At home | 53-76-1 | 56-70-1 |
| On the road | 50-77-2 | 46-86-1 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →
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