NFL • Sun, Nov 8, 18:00
The Dallas Cowboys travel to Indianapolis to face the Colts in a matchup where the simulation favours Dallas clearly. Javonte Williams projects for 95 yards from scrimmage for the visitors, while Jonathan Taylor is expected to manage 80 yards for the hosts. The game hinges on Dallas's ability to establish its passing game; both Dak Prescott and Daniel Jones are projected for 260 passing yards, but the Cowboys' supporting cast—led by CeeDee Lamb at 80 receiving yards—suggests sharper efficiency.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NFL
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Cowboys 62% to beat Indianapolis Colts (37%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Dallas Cowboys the more likely winner at 62%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Indianapolis Colts a 37% chance of beating Dallas Cowboys, against 62% for Dallas Cowboys. Indianapolis Colts are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
Dallas Cowboys (3-5 so far) project to finish 7.4–9.6 and make the playoffs in 27% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Indianapolis Colts (2-6 so far) project to finish 5.3–11.7 and make the playoffs in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Division title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Cowboys | 7.4–9.6 | 23% | 27% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 5.3–11.7 | 1% | 3% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NFL team's projection →
How Dallas Cowboys and Indianapolis Colts come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Dallas Cowboys have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
Indianapolis Colts have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 3 times since 2014: Dallas Cowboys 2, Indianapolis Colts 1. The last meeting, on Dec 4, 2022, finished Indianapolis Colts 19, Dallas Cowboys 54.
Dallas Cowboys are 106-55 as favourite and 36-63-1 as underdog, and 67-64 on the road (51% of 131 games, 2011–2026).
Indianapolis Colts are 83-38-1 as favourite and 44-95 as underdog, and 73-55 at home (57% of 128 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | DAL | IND |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 106-55 | 83-38-1 |
| As underdog | 36-63-1 | 44-95 |
| At home | 75-55-1 | 73-55 |
| On the road | 67-64 | 54-79-1 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NFL odds have moved →