Detroit Lions
2-1
Carolina Panthers
1-2
Win Probability
Projected score
22.9 – 15.9
Detroit Lions travel to Carolina Panthers in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the visitors. Jared Goff has a 46% chance of exceeding 190 passing yards, while Tetairoa McMillan projects at 49% to surpass 30 yards from scrimmage—a gap that reflects how the Lions' passing attack figures to dominate. The game turns on whether Carolina's offense can generate enough volume; Bryce Young sits at just 45% to clear 70 passing yards. On similar win-probability shapes across different matchups, AccuScore's model has won three of eight. For the Panthers to steal this at home, they would need efficiency gains that the simulation does not project.
| Book | Line | CAR | EV | DET | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +3.5 | -108 | -3.4% | -112 | -1.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +3.5 | -104 | -2.5% | -118 | -2.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +3.5 | -108 | -3.4% | -110 | -0.7% |
| Book | CAR | EV | DET | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +154 | -10.9% | -185 | +3.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +168 | -8.7% | -200 | +1.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +165 | -9.2% | -200 | +1.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 50.5 | -122 | -31.9% | +102 | +30.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 50.5 | -115 | -31.4% | -105 | +28.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 51 | -108 | -31.8% | -110 | +27.5% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 61.8%
NFL
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Lions 69% to beat Carolina Panthers (31%). Projected score: Detroit Lions 22.9, Carolina Panthers 15.9.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Lions the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Carolina Panthers a 31% chance of beating Detroit Lions, against 69% for Detroit Lions. Carolina Panthers are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Detroit Lions 22.9, Carolina Panthers 15.9.