New York Jets
1-2
Chicago Bears
2-1
Win Probability
Projected score
14.8 – 21.8
The Chicago Bears host the visiting New York Jets in a matchup where the simulation favours the home side clearly. Dandre Swift carries the offensive load with a 48% chance of surpassing 95 rushing yards, while Geno Smith needs to exceed 170 passing yards—something the model gives him only a 47% probability of achieving. The game hinges on whether New York can generate consistent offensive volume; if they cannot, Chicago's ground game should control the tempo. AccuScore's model has returned 3.0% on games shaped this way across 97 graded decisions, winning 62% of them. For the Jets to pull the upset, they would need production from their skill players to break the projected script significantly.
| Book | Line | CHI | EV | NYJ | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -3.5 | -112 | — | -108 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -3.5 | -104 | — | -118 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -3.5 | -110 | — | -108 | — |
| Book | CHI | EV | NYJ | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -185 | +2.8% | +154 | -10.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -176 | +3.7% | +148 | -11.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -185 | +2.8% | +150 | -10.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 43.5 | +100 | -22.7% | -120 | +16.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 42.5 | -118 | -22.7% | -102 | +19.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 43 | -110 | -22.8% | -108 | +18.9% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 60.3%
NFL
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Bears 69% to beat New York Jets (31%). Projected score: New York Jets 14.8, Chicago Bears 21.8.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Bears the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago Bears a 69% chance of beating New York Jets, against 31% for New York Jets. Chicago Bears are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects New York Jets 14.8, Chicago Bears 21.8.