Indianapolis Colts
1-2
Washington Commanders
1-2
Win Probability
Projected score
32.7 – 32.7
The simulation leans toward Washington Commanders hosting Indianapolis Colts in a matchup where the home side holds a clear advantage. Both teams sit at 1-2, and the model projects a relatively tight scoring affair that hinges on Washington's ability to sustain offensive pressure. AccuScore's record on games shaped this way—slight home favorites in evenly matched contests—stands at 44% over 63 prior games. For Indianapolis to pull the upset, the Colts would need to exploit defensive vulnerabilities and control the tempo in a way the simulation hasn't weighted heavily enough.
| Book | Line | WAS | EV | IND | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +4.5 | -115 | -2.0% | -105 | -2.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +3.5 | +100 | +1.3% | -122 | -5.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +4 | -108 | -0.6% | -110 | -3.5% |
| Book | WAS | EV | IND | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +164 | +10.6% | -198 | -9.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +190 | +16.6% | -230 | -11.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +170 | +12.0% | -210 | -10.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 47.5 | -108 | +26.7% | -112 | -30.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 47.5 | -106 | +27.4% | -114 | -30.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 47.5 | -105 | +27.8% | -112 | -30.8% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 45.9%
NFL
AccuScore's simulation makes Indianapolis Colts 54% to beat Washington Commanders (46%). Projected score: Indianapolis Colts 32.7, Washington Commanders 32.7.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Indianapolis Colts the more likely winner at 54%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Washington Commanders a 46% chance of beating Indianapolis Colts, against 54% for Indianapolis Colts. Washington Commanders are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Indianapolis Colts 32.7, Washington Commanders 32.7.