Analysis

Old Dominion travels to face Georgia State in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the visitors. Cameran Brown has a 54% chance of surpassing 280 passing yards, while Devin Roche projects at 47% to exceed 170 rushing yards—the game likely turns on whether Georgia State's passing attack can keep pace with Old Dominion's ground game. AccuScore's model has converted only 38% of similarly shaped calls across 69 graded games, a cautionary note for any team favored by this margin in road contests. For Georgia State to upset the projection, the Panthers would need their rushing attack to establish itself early and force Old Dominion into a reactive posture.