Ohio
2-0
Kent State
2-0
Win Probability
Projected score
23.6 – 16.3
Undefeated Ohio travels to face undefeated Kent State in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the Bobcats. Nick Poulos has a 50% chance of surpassing 220 passing yards, while Dru DeShields projects at 48% to exceed 180—a gap that mirrors the wider offensive disparity AccuScore sees. The game turns on whether Kent State's defense can contain Sieh Bangura, who has a 47% chance of breaking 205 rushing yards; if Bangura reaches that mark, Ohio's advantage compounds significantly. On similar win-probability shapes, AccuScore's favored side has won just 50% of the time. For Kent State to pull the upset, Wayne Harris would need to sustain possession and exceed his 50% projection for over 50 receiving yards.
| Book | Line | KEN | EV | Ohio | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +3.5 | -112 | -4.2% | -108 | -0.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +3.5 | -114 | -4.6% | -106 | +0.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +3.5 | -110 | -3.8% | -108 | -0.3% |
| Book | KEN | EV | Ohio | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +145 | -12.6% | -175 | +4.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +140 | -13.4% | -170 | +5.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +140 | -13.4% | -175 | +4.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 50.5 | -112 | -30.3% | -108 | +26.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 50.5 | -114 | -30.4% | -106 | +26.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 50.5 | -115 | -30.5% | -105 | +27.3% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 62.5%
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Ohio 69% to beat Kent State (31%). Projected score: Ohio 23.6, Kent State 16.3.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Ohio the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Kent State a 31% chance of beating Ohio, against 69% for Ohio. Kent State are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Ohio 23.6, Kent State 16.3.