Eastern Michigan
2-0
Massachusetts
4-0
Win Probability
Projected score
18.2 – 28.4
Massachusetts hosts Eastern Michigan in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. Eastern Michigan's Noah Kim projects to exceed 250 passing yards at 53%, but Massachusetts counterattacks through William Watson III, who has a 51% chance to surpass 270 yards through the air. The game turns on whether Eastern Michigan can generate enough offensive volume to keep pace; across eight similar win-probability shapes, the favoured side won seven times, though AccuScore's record on this exact scenario stands at 60% over 63 graded games. For the Eagles to pull the upset, they would need the Minutemen's passing game to stall while their own playmakers—particularly Joshua Long and Joey Mattord—consistently beat their yardage benchmarks.
| Book | Line | MAS | EV | MIC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -6 | -108 | — | -112 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -5.5 | -108 | — | -112 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -6 | -108 | — | -110 | — |
| Book | MAS | EV | MIC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -218 | +6.8% | +180 | -19.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -210 | +7.5% | +172 | -19.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -220 | +6.7% | +180 | -19.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 48.5 | -110 | -10.9% | -110 | +6.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 48.5 | -112 | -11.2% | -108 | +6.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 48.5 | -110 | -10.9% | -108 | +6.9% |
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Massachusetts 78% to beat Eastern Michigan (22%). Projected score: Eastern Michigan 18.2, Massachusetts 28.4.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Massachusetts the more likely winner at 78%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Massachusetts a 78% chance of beating Eastern Michigan, against 22% for Eastern Michigan. Massachusetts are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Eastern Michigan 18.2, Massachusetts 28.4.