Akron
1-0
Central Michigan
2-0
Win Probability
Projected score
14.8 – 24.0
Central Michigan hosts Akron in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the Chippewas. Jordan Gant has a 48% chance of topping 100 rushing yards, while Brock Townsend sits at 47% for 65 rushing yards—the game turns on which team's ground game imposes its will. Across similar win-probability shapes, AccuScore's model won 7 of 8 comparable games. For Akron to pull off the upset, Brayden Roggow would need to exceed 140 passing yards (47% in the simulation) and sustain drives that keep Central Michigan's defence off balance.
| Book | Line | MIC | EV | AKR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -6.5 | -118 | — | -102 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -6.5 | -110 | — | -110 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -6.5 | -112 | — | -105 | — |
| Book | MIC | EV | AKR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -250 | +3.1% | +205 | -13.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -240 | +3.7% | +195 | -14.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -235 | +4.0% | +200 | -13.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 47.5 | -105 | -26.1% | -115 | +20.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 47.5 | -106 | -26.2% | -114 | +20.9% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 47.5 | -105 | -26.1% | -112 | +21.5% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 75.8%
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Central Michigan 76% to beat Akron (24%). Projected score: Akron 14.8, Central Michigan 24.0.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Central Michigan the more likely winner at 76%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Central Michigan a 76% chance of beating Akron, against 24% for Akron. Central Michigan are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Akron 14.8, Central Michigan 24.0.