San José State
2-0
Hawai'i
Win Probability
Moneyline
JOS
38.7% win prob
Moneyline
HAW
61.3% win prob
Projected score
24.2 – 28.2
San José State travels to Hawai'i as a visitor facing a home side the model favors clearly. The simulation leans toward the Rainbow Warriors, though the margin is modest enough that San José State remains very much in play. Hawai'i's ability to control tempo and force stops will be decisive; the total sits near the knife's edge, with just 51% of simulations playing over. AccuScore's record on games shaped this way—favoring the home team in a relatively close contest—stands at 53% over 68 graded matchups. San José State would need to win the possession battle and convert chances at a rate above projection to pull the upset.
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Hawai'i 61% to beat San José State (39%). Projected score: San José State 24.2, Hawai'i 28.2.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Hawai'i the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Hawai'i a 61% chance of beating San José State, against 39% for San José State. Hawai'i are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects San José State 24.2, Hawai'i 28.2.