Temple
1-0
South Florida
4-0
Win Probability
Projected score
21.8 – 30.5
South Florida hosts Temple in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. D.J. Crowther projects to have better than a 48% chance at 130-plus rushing yards, while Jaxon Smolik has a 50% chance to exceed 220 passing yards—the visitor will need to move the ball through the air to keep pace. The game turns on whether Temple's passing attack can compensate for what figures to be South Florida's ground control; if the Bulls establish the run, Temple's task becomes substantially harder. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's model won 7 of 8 comparable matchups in the past. A Temple upset would require Smolik to sustain that passing efficiency while the Owls limit South Florida's ground game.
| Book | Line | FLO | EV | TEM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -6 | -112 | — | -108 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -6.5 | +100 | — | -122 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -6 | -108 | — | -110 | — |
| Book | FLO | EV | TEM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -238 | +0.6% | +195 | -7.7% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -220 | +1.8% | +180 | -9.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -225 | +1.4% | +190 | -8.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 48.5 | -108 | +3.7% | -112 | -8.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 48.5 | -108 | +3.7% | -112 | -8.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 48.5 | -105 | +4.4% | -112 | -8.1% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 55.8%
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes South Florida 71% to beat Temple (29%). Projected score: Temple 21.8, South Florida 30.5.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes South Florida the more likely winner at 71%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives South Florida a 71% chance of beating Temple, against 29% for Temple. South Florida are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Temple 21.8, South Florida 30.5.