Memphis
3-0
Charlotte
0-0
Win Probability
Projected score
40.6 – 16.9
Memphis travels to Charlotte as a decisive favourite in this matchup. The simulation heavily favours the Tigers, and across eight prior games with similar win probabilities, the model went 8-0. Memphis quarterback Marcus Stokes projects to exceed 340 passing yards with 53% probability, while Charlotte's Cole Gonzales reaches 280 yards in just 54% of outcomes—a gap that hints at where this game is decided. For Charlotte to pull the upset, Jariel Cobb would need to dominate on the ground, though he clears 95 rushing yards in only 48% of simulations.
| Book | Line | CHA | EV | MEM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +20.5 | -110 | -1.3% | -110 | -3.2% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +20.5 | -110 | -1.3% | -110 | -3.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +20.5 | -110 | -1.3% | -108 | -2.8% |
| Book | CHA | EV | MEM | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +850 | -13.0% | -1450 | -0.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +890 | -11.4% | -1700 | -1.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +950 | -9.1% | -1400 | -0.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 52.5 | -108 | +7.0% | -112 | -11.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 52.5 | -106 | +7.5% | -114 | -11.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 52.5 | -105 | +7.7% | -115 | -11.8% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 59.2%
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Memphis 92% to beat Charlotte (8%). Projected score: Memphis 40.6, Charlotte 16.9.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Memphis the more likely winner at 92%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Charlotte a 8% chance of beating Memphis, against 92% for Memphis. Charlotte are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Memphis 40.6, Charlotte 16.9.