Washington
3-0
USC
4-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
WAS
85.1% win prob
Moneyline
USC
14.8% win prob
Projected score
41.8 – 26.1
Washington travels to USC as a decisive favourite in this matchup, though the simulation's confidence in road teams at this win-probability level has historically been tested. Jayden Maiava projects to exceed 310 passing yards just over half the time, while Washington's Rashid Williams sits at 49% to clear 70 receiving yards—both borderline outcomes that could swing the game's texture. The deciding factor appears to be field efficiency: AccuScore's model on games shaped like this one has gone 59% over 34 prior instances, a reminder that the favourite doesn't always cash. For USC to upset, the Trojans would need their passing game to stay explosive while containing Washington's receiving threats well above their projected rates.
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington 85% to beat USC (15%). Projected score: Washington 41.8, USC 26.1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington the more likely winner at 85%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives USC a 15% chance of beating Washington, against 85% for Washington. USC are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Washington 41.8, USC 26.1.