Analysis

Nebraska hosts Maryland as a decisive favorite in this matchup between the unbeaten Cornhuskers and the visiting Terrapins. The simulation leans heavily toward the home side, with Nebraska's passing attack built around Anthony Colandrea—who has a 56% chance of exceeding 390 yards—and a balanced ground game led by Isaiah Mozee at 47% to surpass 120 rushing yards. Maryland's Malik Washington projects to throw for more than 170 yards in just under half the simulations, a meaningful gap that underscores the offensive disparity. AccuScore's model has gone 64% on similar high-confidence home favorites across 39 graded games, though that 11.7% return deficit cautions against certainty. For Maryland to pull the upset, its defense would need to contain Nebraska's passing volume while Washington finds enough time to operate against the road disadvantage.