Texas Tech
4-0
Colorado
2-0
Win Probability
Projected score
25.2 – 16.5
Texas Tech travels to face Colorado in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the visiting Red Raiders. The outcome hinges on Colorado's ability to establish offensive balance: Julian Lewis projects as a 53% chance to exceed 260 passing yards, while the ground game remains uncertain, with Micah Welch at just 43% to surpass 55 rushing yards. Joseph Williams has a 49% chance of topping 60 receiving yards in what shapes as a thin margin for the Buffaloes' passing attack. AccuScore's model has converted 63% of similar away-side calls across 46 graded games, though seven of eight comparable contests recently went the favoured side's way. Colorado would need to tighten its offensive execution and limit explosive plays to pull the upset at home.
| Book | Line | COL | EV | TEC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +13.5 | -115 | -2.5% | -105 | -2.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +13.5 | -114 | -2.3% | -106 | -2.2% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +13 | -110 | -1.5% | -108 | -2.6% |
| Book | COL | EV | TEC | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | +400 | +21.2% | -535 | -7.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | +390 | +19.8% | -530 | -7.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | +400 | +21.2% | -525 | -7.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 50.5 | -110 | -25.4% | -110 | +20.9% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 50.5 | -105 | -24.9% | -115 | +19.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 50.5 | -108 | -25.2% | -110 | +20.9% |
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Texas Tech 71% to beat Colorado (28%). Projected score: Texas Tech 25.2, Colorado 16.5.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Texas Tech the more likely winner at 71%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Colorado a 28% chance of beating Texas Tech, against 71% for Texas Tech. Colorado are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Texas Tech 25.2, Colorado 16.5.