Arkansas
2-0
Texas A&M
2-0
Win Probability
Projected score
22.9 – 33.1
Texas A&M hosts Arkansas in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the Aggies. The outcome hinges on whether Arkansas can slow down Texas A&M's passing attack—Marcel Reed has a 58% chance of surpassing 300 yards, and if he reaches that mark, the home side will be difficult to stop. Rueben Owens II presents another threat on the ground with a 50% chance of exceeding 185 rushing yards. AccuScore's record on similar games favors the home team: across comparable matchups, the model's side won seven of eight times. For Arkansas to pull the upset, the Razorbacks would need to contain both elements of Texas A&M's attack simultaneously.
| Book | Line | TEX | EV | ARK | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -14 | -108 | — | -112 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -13.5 | -122 | — | +100 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -14 | -105 | — | -112 | — |
| Book | TEX | EV | ARK | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -625 | -6.9% | +455 | +21.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -650 | -7.1% | +460 | +21.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -600 | -6.7% | +450 | +20.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 50.5 | -108 | +8.7% | -112 | -13.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 50.5 | -106 | +9.2% | -114 | -13.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 50.5 | -105 | +9.5% | -112 | -13.0% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 61.0%
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Texas A&M 74% to beat Arkansas (26%). Projected score: Arkansas 22.9, Texas A&M 33.1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Texas A&M the more likely winner at 74%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Texas A&M a 74% chance of beating Arkansas, against 26% for Arkansas. Texas A&M are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Arkansas 22.9, Texas A&M 33.1.