Auburn
3-0
Tennessee
3-0
Win Probability
Projected score
24.4 – 35.1
Auburn travels to face Tennessee in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. Byrum Brown projects at 56% to exceed 350 passing yards, while Keshaun Singleton has a 48% chance to clear 80 receiving yards—both pivotal for Auburn's ability to move the ball consistently. The game turns on whether Tennessee's defence can contain Auburn's passing attack; across eight structurally similar games, the favoured home side won seven. Auburn would need explosive efficiency from its receivers and sustained pressure on Tennessee's secondary to pull off the upset.
| Book | Line | TEN | EV | AUB | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -7 | -110 | — | -110 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -6.5 | -122 | — | +100 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -7 | -110 | — | -108 | — |
| Book | TEN | EV | AUB | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -285 | +1.5% | +230 | -11.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -285 | +1.5% | +230 | -11.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -285 | +1.5% | +230 | -11.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 53.5 | -115 | +7.2% | -105 | -12.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 54.5 | -105 | +7.0% | -115 | -11.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 54.5 | -105 | +7.0% | -115 | -11.1% |
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Tennessee 76% to beat Auburn (24%). Projected score: Auburn 24.4, Tennessee 35.1.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Tennessee the more likely winner at 76%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Tennessee a 76% chance of beating Auburn, against 24% for Auburn. Tennessee are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Auburn 24.4, Tennessee 35.1.