Vanderbilt
3-0
Georgia
4-0
Win Probability
Projected score
18.1 – 37.9
Georgia hosts Vanderbilt with the simulation favoring the Bulldogs decisively. Gunner Stockton projects to exceed 430 passing yards at a 56% clip, while Jared Curtis has just a 46% chance to surpass 170—a gap that frames this matchup's fundamental mismatch. The game hinges on whether Vanderbilt's ground game, led by Sedrick Alexander at 49% to top 125 rushing yards, can keep pace with Georgia's passing volume. AccuScore's model has returned 19.4% on similar home-favored calls over 34 graded games. For Vanderbilt to pull the upset, Alexander would need to sustain drives while Georgia's receivers—Sacovie WhiteHelton at 47% over 85 yards among them—underperform their projections.
| Book | Line | GEO | EV | VAN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -25.5 | -108 | — | -112 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -24.5 | -118 | — | -104 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -25 | -110 | — | -110 | — |
| Book | GEO | EV | VAN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -2800 | -3.1% | +1300 | +15.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -4000 | -3.6% | +1400 | +19.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -3000 | -3.2% | +1550 | +26.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 50.5 | -115 | +5.5% | -105 | -10.4% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 51.5 | -106 | +4.8% | -114 | -9.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 50.5 | -115 | +5.5% | -105 | -10.4% |
NCAAF
AccuScore's simulation makes Georgia 91% to beat Vanderbilt (9%). Projected score: Vanderbilt 18.1, Georgia 37.9.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Georgia the more likely winner at 91%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Georgia a 91% chance of beating Vanderbilt, against 9% for Vanderbilt. Georgia are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Vanderbilt 18.1, Georgia 37.9.