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← Today's Edges
NCAAF•FINALSilver Edge
BAL

Ball State

1-0

13

:
KEN

Kent State

2-0

26

Win Probability

Moneyline

BAL

+116

52.6% win prob

EV +6.8%

FanDuel

Moneyline

KEN

-135

47.4% win prob

EV -8.7%

DraftKings

Projected score

18.2 – 17.4

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadBAL -3
36.50.5-35.5
BAL Cover
45.8%
no odds at this line
KEN Cover
49.4%
no odds at this line
Push 4.9% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 51.5
5.538.7572
Over Cover
10.4%
EV -40.0%
-110FanDuel ↗
Under Cover
89.5%
EV +35.5%
-110FanDuel ↗

Odds Comparison

Spread

BookLineKENEVBALEV
DraftKings ↗-2.5-115—-105—
FanDuel ↗-2.5-118—-104—
BetMGM ↗-2.5-115—-102—

Moneyline

BookKENEVBALEV
DraftKings ↗-135-8.7%+114+6.3%
FanDuel ↗-142-9.6%+116+6.8%
BetMGM ↗-140-9.4%+115+6.5%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
DraftKings ↗51.5-110-40.0%-110+35.5%
FanDuel ↗51.5-110-40.0%-110+35.5%
BetMGM ↗51.5-110-40.0%-110+35.5%
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
BAL007613
KEN7100926
Scoring Plays
Q1 4:15

D. DeShields pass to B. White for 7 yds, for a TD (S. Leonard KICK)

TD

KEN

0–7

Q2 5:34

D. DeShields run for 7 yds, for a TD (S. Leonard KICK)

TD

KEN

0–14

Q2 0:03

S. Leonard 53 yd FG GOOD

FG

KEN

0–17

Q3 6:45

T. Mizzell pass to D. Hamilton for 6 yds, for a TD (B. Boehm KICK)

TD

BAL

7–17

Q4 9:44

D. DeShields pass to D. Clark for 5 yds, for a TD (S. Leonard KICK)

TD

KEN

7–24

Q4 8:33

T. Mizzell sacked for a SAFETY

SF

KEN

7–26

Q4 3:24

J. Bonds run for 10 yds, for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

TD

BAL

13–26

Team Statistics

KENBAL
20
First downs
13
6-14Third down efficiency5-14
2-2Fourth down efficiency2-3
354
Yards
210
189
Passing
164
16/25Comp/Att16/27
7.6Yards per pass6.1
0Interceptions thrown0
165
Rushing
46
43Attempts27
3.8Yards per rush1.7
14-100
Penalties
7-61
0
Turnovers
0
0Lost fumbles0
0Interceptions0
29:13
Possession
24:42
0
Interceptions
0
13
Points against
26
BALC/ATTYDSAVGTDINT2PT
Tyler Mizzell16/271646.1100
KENC/ATTYDSAVGTDINT2PT
Dru DeShields16/251897.6200

Game Info

Venue

Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium, Kent, OH

Player Props

KEN BAL
Sort:

Where to Bet

silver
BAL +2.5+9.1% EV

Win probability: 59.7%

BetMGM
-115Bet →
DraftKings
-115Bet →
FanDuel
-118Bet →

NCAAF

Ball State vs Kent State Prediction

Final · BAL 13–26 KEN · Sat, Sep 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Ball State 53% to beat Kent State (47%). Projected score: Ball State 18.2, Kent State 17.4. Final score: Ball State 13, Kent State 26.

Projection updated Sep 27, 11:56 AM ET

Who will win Ball State vs Kent State?

AccuScore's simulation makes Ball State the more likely winner at 53%. The game finished Ball State 13, Kent State 26.

Will Kent State beat Ball State?

AccuScore's simulation gives Kent State a 47% chance of beating Ball State, against 53% for Ball State. It finished Kent State 26, Ball State 13.

What is the predicted score for Ball State vs Kent State?

AccuScore projects Ball State 18.2, Kent State 17.4.

Ball State predictions & record →Kent State predictions & record →