Michigan State vs Notre Dame Prediction & Odds

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NCAAF•FINALSilver Edge

MIC

Michigan State

2-0

DAM

Notre Dame

4-0

Win Probability

Moneyline

MIC

+2500

2.6% win prob

EV -16.2%

BetMGM

Moneyline

DAM

-5000

97.1% win prob

EV -0.5%

DraftKings

Projected score

9.2 – 42.5

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadDAM -32

13.5-32-77.5

MIC Cover

49.0%

no odds at this line

DAM Cover

49.4%

no odds at this line

Push 1.7% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line

Total (Over/Under)O/U 51.5

11.553.7596

Over Cover

46.5%

EV -6.5%

-115DraftKings ↗

Under Cover

53.5%

EV +2.2%

-105DraftKings ↗

Odds Comparison

Spread

Book	Line	DAM	EV	MIC	EV
DraftKings ↗	-29.5	-108	—	-112	—
FanDuel ↗	-29.5	-110	—	-110	—
BetMGM ↗	-29	-110	—	-108	—

Moneyline

Book	DAM	EV	MIC	EV
DraftKings ↗	-5000	-0.5%	+1800	-25.3%
FanDuel ↗	-10000	-1.0%	+2400	-17.5%
BetMGM ↗	-10000	-1.0%	+2500	-16.2%

Total (O/U)

Book	Line	Over	EV (O)	Under	EV (U)
DraftKings ↗	51.5	-115	-6.5%	-105	+2.2%
FanDuel ↗	52.5	-105	-5.2%	-115	+0.6%
BetMGM ↗	52.5	-102	-4.5%	-118	-0.0%

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
MIC	0	10	0	0	10
DAM	10	7	3	7	27

Scoring Plays

Q1 12:06

Spencer Porath 25 Yd Field Goal

DAM

0–3

Q1 4:31

Nolan James Jr. 2 Yd Run (Spencer Porath Kick)

DAM

0–10

Q2 10:05

Liam Boyd 32 Yd Field Goal

MIC

3–10

Q2 4:46

Aneyas Williams 1 Yd Run (Spencer Porath Kick)

DAM

3–17

Q2 3:21

Cam Fancher 15 Yd Run (Liam Boyd Kick)

MIC

10–17

Q3 1:00

Spencer Porath 35 Yd Field Goal

DAM

10–20

Q4 10:55

CJ Carr 3 Yd Run (Spencer Porath Kick)

DAM

10–27

Team Statistics

DAMMIC

First downs

4-12Third down efficiency4-11

2-3Fourth down efficiency1-1

395

Yards

167

234

Passing

123

18/24Comp/Att9/18

9.8Yards per pass6.8

0Interceptions thrown2

161

Rushing

43Attempts27

3.7Yards per rush1.6

3-30

Penalties

2-30

Turnovers

0Lost fumbles0

0Interceptions2

37:02

Possession

22:58

Interceptions

Points against

MIC	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	2PT
Alessio Milivojevic	9/17	123	7.2	0	2	0
Cam Fancher	0/1	0	0.0	0	0	0

DAM	C/ATT	YDS	AVG	TD	INT	2PT
CJ Carr	18/24	234	9.8	0	0	0

Game Info

Venue

Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN

Attendance

77,622

Player Props

DAM MIC

Sort:

Where to Bet

silver

DAM -29.5+3.1% EV

Win probability: 55.1%

AccuScore's simulation makes Notre Dame 97% to beat Michigan State (3%). Projected score: Michigan State 9.2, Notre Dame 42.5. Final score: Michigan State 10, Notre Dame 27.

Projection updated Sep 20, 8:21 AM ET

Who will win Michigan State vs Notre Dame?

AccuScore's simulation makes Notre Dame the more likely winner at 97%. The game finished Michigan State 10, Notre Dame 27.

Will Notre Dame beat Michigan State?

AccuScore's simulation gives Notre Dame a 97% chance of beating Michigan State, against 3% for Michigan State. It finished Notre Dame 27, Michigan State 10.

What is the predicted score for Michigan State vs Notre Dame?

AccuScore projects Michigan State 9.2, Notre Dame 42.5.