Ball State
1-0
15
Liberty
3-0
51
Win Probability
Projected score
13.8 – 24.5
| Book | Line | LIB | EV | BAL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -14.5 | -108 | — | -112 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -14.5 | -112 | — | -108 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -14.5 | -105 | — | -112 | — |
| Book | LIB | EV | BAL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -650 | -4.8% | +470 | +11.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -690 | -5.2% | +480 | +12.6% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -650 | -4.8% | +500 | +14.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 49.5 | -108 | -30.1% | -112 | +25.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 48.5 | -114 | -28.8% | -106 | +25.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 49.5 | -105 | -29.8% | -115 | +24.2% |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 7 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 15 |
| LIB | 13 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51 |
Makai Jackson 12 Yd pass from Deshawn Purdie (Chase Reeves PAT failed)
LIB
0–6
TJ Horton 2 Yd Run (Brody Boehm Kick)
BAL
7–6
Jamari Person 16 Yd pass from Deshawn Purdie (Chase Reeves Kick)
LIB
7–13
Chase Reeves 46 Yd Field Goal
LIB
7–16
Jamari Person 7 Yd pass from Deshawn Purdie (Chase Reeves Kick)
LIB
7–23
Ethan Vasko 4 Yd Run (Chase Reeves Kick)
LIB
7–30
Kam Davis 14 Yd Run (Chase Reeves Kick)
LIB
7–37
TJ Horton 1 Yd Run (Keldric Luster Run for Two-Point Conversion)
BAL
15–37
Terron Kellman 21 Yd pass from Jaylen Henderson (Tyler Black Kick)
LIB
15–44
Jaylin Belford 1 Yd Run (Tyler Black Kick)
LIB
15–51
| BAL | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldric Luster | 10/21 | 93 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LIB | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshawn Purdie | 13/20 | 211 | 10.6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylen Henderson | 3/4 | 37 | 9.3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Venue
Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg, VA
Attendance
18,330
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 21.6%
NCAAF
Final · BAL 15–51 LIB ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Liberty 78% to beat Ball State (22%). Projected score: Ball State 13.8, Liberty 24.5. Final score: Ball State 15, Liberty 51.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Liberty the more likely winner at 78%. The game finished Ball State 15, Liberty 51.
AccuScore's simulation gives Liberty a 78% chance of beating Ball State, against 22% for Ball State. It finished Liberty 51, Ball State 15.
AccuScore projects Ball State 13.8, Liberty 24.5.