Buffalo
2-0
13
Penn State
3-0
55
Win Probability
Moneyline
BUF
2.7% win prob
Moneyline
PEN
97.2% win prob
Projected score
8.9 – 38.1
| Book | Line | PEN | EV | BUF | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -40.5 | -118 | — | -102 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -40.5 | -115 | — | -105 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -41.5 | -108 | — | -112 | — |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 49.5 | -110 | -11.5% | -110 | +7.0% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 49.5 | -106 | -10.8% | -114 | +6.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 49.5 | -105 | -10.7% | -112 | +6.5% |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 |
| PEN | 17 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 55 |
Ryan Barker 48 Yd Field Goal
PEN
0–3
James Peoples 16 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)
PEN
0–10
Andrew Rappleyea 3 Yd pass from Rocco Becht (Ryan Barker Kick)
PEN
0–17
Oliver Hautanen 21 Yd Field Goal
BUF
3–17
Ryan Barker 25 Yd Field Goal
PEN
3–20
Koby Howard 20 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)
PEN
3–27
Koby Howard 70 Yd pass from Rocco Becht (Ryan Barker Kick)
PEN
3–34
Oliver Hautanen 38 Yd Field Goal
BUF
6–34
Carson Hansen 12 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)
PEN
6–41
James Peoples 11 Yd Run (Ryan Barker Kick)
PEN
6–48
Cam Wallace 59 Yd Run (Matthew Parker Kick)
PEN
6–55
James McNeil Jr. 1 Yd Run (Oliver Hautanen Kick)
BUF
13–55
| BUF | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Wright | 10/25 | 60 | 2.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| PEN | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocco Becht | 11/19 | 212 | 11.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Manske | 3/6 | 45 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Connor Barry | 1/1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Venue
Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
Attendance
103,817
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 59.7%
NCAAF
Final · BUF 13–55 PEN ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Penn State 97% to beat Buffalo (3%). Projected score: Buffalo 8.9, Penn State 38.1. Final score: Buffalo 13, Penn State 55.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Penn State the more likely winner at 97%. The game finished Buffalo 13, Penn State 55.
AccuScore's simulation gives Penn State a 97% chance of beating Buffalo, against 3% for Buffalo. It finished Penn State 55, Buffalo 13.
AccuScore projects Buffalo 8.9, Penn State 38.1.