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← Today's Edges
NCAAF•FINALSilver Edge
ARK

Arkansas

2-0

10

:
Utah

Utah

4-0

43

Win Probability

Moneyline

ARK

+390

29.4% win prob

EV +22.0%

FanDuel

Moneyline

Utah

-500

70.6% win prob

EV -7.6%

BetMGM

Projected score

22.8 – 31.0

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadUtah -7.5
32-8-48
ARK Cover
49.7%
no odds at this line
Utah Cover
50.3%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 55.5
1755.594
Over Cover
42.6%
EV -9.3%
-110FanDuel ↗
Under Cover
57.4%
EV +4.7%
-110FanDuel ↗

Odds Comparison

Spread

BookLineUtahEVARKEV
DraftKings ↗-12.5-110—-110—
FanDuel ↗-12.5-110—-110—
BetMGM ↗-12.5-108—-110—

Moneyline

BookUtahEVARKEV
DraftKings ↗-520-7.9%+390+22.0%
FanDuel ↗-510-7.8%+390+22.0%
BetMGM ↗-500-7.6%+380+20.6%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
DraftKings ↗55.5-112-9.6%-108+5.2%
FanDuel ↗55.5-110-9.3%-110+4.7%
BetMGM ↗55.5-108-8.9%-110+4.7%
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
ARK300710
Utah7227743
Scoring Plays
Q1 7:44

M. Gilbert 29 yd FG GOOD

FG

ARK

3–0

Q1 3:39

W. Parker run for 1 yd, for a TD (D. Curtis KICK)

TD

Utah

3–7

Q2 9:23

D. Dampier run for 7 yds, for a TD (M. Carvalho Run For Two-point Conversion)

TD

Utah

3–15

Q2 1:55

W. Parker run for 9 yds, for a TD (D. Curtis KICK)

TD

Utah

3–22

Q2 0:27

D. Dampier pass to W. Parker for 7 yds, for a TD (D. Curtis KICK)

TD

Utah

3–29

Q3 12:03

D. Dampier pass to N. Bennee for 1 yd, for a TD (D. Curtis KICK)

TD

Utah

3–36

Q4 12:47

D. Dampier run for 2 yds, for a TD (D. Curtis KICK)

TD

Utah

3–43

Q4 6:43

AJ Hill pass to I. Cisse for 21 yds, for a TD (M. Gilbert KICK)

TD

ARK

10–43

Team Statistics

UtahARK
24
First downs
21
5-9Third down efficiency7-17
1-2Fourth down efficiency2-4
442
Yards
305
301
Passing
244
20/28Comp/Att22/48
10.8Yards per pass5.1
1Interceptions thrown1
141
Rushing
61
34Attempts28
4.1Yards per rush2.2
7-50
Penalties
7-56
1
Turnovers
1
0Lost fumbles0
1Interceptions1
28:03
Possession
31:57
1
Interceptions
1
10
Points against
43
ARKC/ATTYDSAVGTDINT2PT
KJ Jackson14/341394.1010
AJ Hill8/141057.5100
UtahC/ATTYDSAVGTDINT2PT
Devon Dampier18/2426110.9210
Byrd Ficklin2/44010.0000

Game Info

Venue

Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UT

Player Props

Utah ARK
Sort:

Where to Bet

silver
ARK +12.5+10.6% EV

Win probability: 63.5%

BetMGM
-108Bet →
FanDuel
-110Bet →
DraftKings
-110Bet →

NCAAF

Arkansas vs Utah Prediction

Final · ARK 10–43 Utah · Sat, Sep 12, 2026, 10:30 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Utah 71% to beat Arkansas (29%). Projected score: Arkansas 22.8, Utah 31.0. Final score: Arkansas 10, Utah 43.

Projection updated Sep 11, 10:11 AM ET

Who will win Arkansas vs Utah?

AccuScore's simulation makes Utah the more likely winner at 71%. The game finished Arkansas 10, Utah 43.

Will Utah beat Arkansas?

AccuScore's simulation gives Utah a 71% chance of beating Arkansas, against 29% for Arkansas. It finished Utah 43, Arkansas 10.

What is the predicted score for Arkansas vs Utah?

AccuScore projects Arkansas 22.8, Utah 31.0.

Arkansas predictions & record →Utah predictions & record →