Louisville
2-0
38
Ole Miss
3-0
41
Win Probability
Projected score
15.5 – 40.5
| Book | Line | MIS | EV | LOU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -6.5 | -115 | — | -105 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -6.5 | -118 | — | -104 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -6.5 | -112 | — | -105 | — |
| Book | MIS | EV | LOU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -258 | +16.7% | +210 | -44.1% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -260 | +16.5% | +215 | -44.0% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -250 | +17.3% | +210 | -44.1% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 55.5 | -105 | -3.2% | -115 | -1.3% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 55.5 | -105 | -3.2% | -115 | -1.3% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 55.5 | -102 | -2.6% | -118 | -1.9% |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 38 |
| MIS | 0 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 41 |
Carson Hilbert 25 Yd Field Goal
LOU
3–0
Lucas Carneiro 43 Yd Field Goal
MIS
3–3
Kewan Lacy 1 Yd Run (Lucas Carneiro Kick)
MIS
3–10
Carson Hilbert 46 Yd Field Goal
LOU
6–10
Tre Richardson 30 Yd Run (Carson Hilbert Kick)
LOU
13–10
Deuce Alexander 62 Yd pass from Trinidad Chambliss (Lucas Carneiro Kick)
MIS
13–17
Carson Hilbert 45 Yd Field Goal
LOU
16–17
Deuce Alexander 62 Yd pass from Trinidad Chambliss (Lucas Carneiro Kick)
MIS
16–24
Tre Richardson 62 Yd pass from Lincoln Kienholz (Lincoln Kienholz Pass to Lawayne McCoy for Two-Point Conversion)
LOU
24–24
Caleb Odom 35 Yd pass from Trinidad Chambliss (Lucas Carneiro Kick)
MIS
24–31
Trinidad Chambliss 5 Yd Run (Lucas Carneiro Kick)
MIS
24–38
Lawayne McCoy 54 Yd pass from Lincoln Kienholz (Carson Hilbert Kick)
LOU
31–38
Lincoln Kienholz 7 Yd Run (Carson Hilbert Kick)
LOU
38–38
Lucas Carneiro 48 Yd Field Goal
MIS
38–41
| LOU | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Kienholz | 18/29 | 307 | 10.6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| MIS | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trinidad Chambliss | 21/36 | 336 | 9.3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Venue
Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Attendance
57,390
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 96.1%
NCAAF
Final · LOU 38–41 MIS ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Ole Miss 96% to beat Louisville (4%). Projected score: Louisville 15.5, Ole Miss 40.5. Final score: Louisville 38, Ole Miss 41.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Ole Miss the more likely winner at 96%. The game finished Louisville 38, Ole Miss 41.
AccuScore's simulation gives Ole Miss a 96% chance of beating Louisville, against 4% for Louisville. It finished Ole Miss 41, Louisville 38.
AccuScore projects Louisville 15.5, Ole Miss 40.5.