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NCAAF

UL Monroe vs Mississippi State Prediction

Final · MON 13–62 MIS · Sat, Sep 5, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAF•FINALSilver Edge
MON

UL Monroe

0-0

13

:
MIS

Mississippi State

4-0

62

Win Probability

Moneyline

MON

+2000

4.4% win prob

EV -3.8%

FanDuel

Moneyline

MIS

-4000

95.5% win prob

EV -1.1%

DraftKings

Projected score

16.3 – 42.7

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadMIS -26
16-25-66
MON Cover
48.7%
no odds at this line
MIS Cover
48.3%
no odds at this line
Push 3.1% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 54.5
20.560.25100
Over Cover
57.7%
EV +5.1%
-110FanDuel ↗
Under Cover
42.3%
EV -9.6%
-110FanDuel ↗

Odds Comparison

Spread

BookLineMISEVMONEV
DraftKings ↗-28.5-108—-112—
FanDuel ↗-28.5-105—-115—
BetMGM ↗-28.5-105—-112—

Moneyline

BookMISEVMONEV
DraftKings ↗-4000-1.1%+1600-12.6%
FanDuel ↗-7000-1.6%+2000-3.8%
BetMGM ↗-10000-1.8%+2000-3.8%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
DraftKings ↗54.5-115+3.9%-105-8.7%
FanDuel ↗54.5-110+5.1%-110-9.6%
BetMGM ↗54.5-110+5.1%-108-9.3%
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
MON0310013
MIS212071462
Scoring Plays
Q1 12:21

Sanfrisco Magee 6 Yd pass from Kamario Taylor (Kyle Ferrie Kick)

TD

MIS

0–7

Q1 10:20

Zion Ragins 22 Yd pass from Kamario Taylor (Kyle Ferrie Kick)

REC

MIS

0–14

Q1 5:58

Kamario Taylor 26 Yd Run (Kyle Ferrie Kick)

TD

MIS

0–21

Q2 14:56

Abram Murray 43 Yd Field Goal

FG

MON

3–21

Q2 13:15

Anthony Evans III 10 Yd pass from Kamario Taylor (Kyle Ferrie Kick)

REC

MIS

3–28

Q2 8:32

Kyle Ferrie 26 Yd Field Goal

FG

MIS

3–31

Q2 3:59

Kyle Ferrie 32 Yd Field Goal

FG

MIS

3–34

Q2 0:35

Xavier Gayten 14 Yd Run (Kyle Ferrie Kick)

TD

MIS

3–41

Q3 13:36

Marquis Johnson 70 Yd pass from Kamario Taylor (Kyle Ferrie Kick)

TD

MIS

3–48

Q3 10:14

Derrick Jameson 40 Yd pass from Austin Carlisle (Abram Murray Kick)

TD

MON

10–48

Q3 3:45

Abram Murray 52 Yd Field Goal

FG

MON

13–48

Q4 7:50

J.J. Hill 57 Yd Run (Kyle Ferrie Kick)

TD

MIS

13–55

Q4 2:44

J.J. Hill 8 Yd Run (Kyle Ferrie Kick)

TD

MIS

13–62

Team Statistics

MISMON
35
First downs
14
5-11Third down efficiency3-16
1-1Fourth down efficiency2-3
762
Yards
278
417
Passing
140
27/42Comp/Att16/28
9.9Yards per pass5.0
0Interceptions thrown0
345
Rushing
138
37Attempts40
9.3Yards per rush3.5
8-78
Penalties
5-55
0
Turnovers
0
0Lost fumbles0
0Interceptions0
28:13
Possession
31:47
0
Interceptions
0
13
Points against
62
MONC/ATTYDSAVGTDINT2PT
Austin Carlisle6/10737.3100
Aidan Armenta10/16674.2000
Landon Graves0/200.0000
MISC/ATTYDSAVGTDINT2PT
Kamario Taylor22/3435410.4400
Parker Puckett5/8637.9000

Game Info

Venue

Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS

Attendance

48,771

Player Props

MIS MON
Sort:

Where to Bet

silver
Over 54.5+5.1% EV

Win probability: 57.7%

FanDuel
-110Bet →
BetMGM
-110Bet →
DraftKings
-115Bet →

AccuScore's simulation makes Mississippi State 96% to beat UL Monroe (4%). Projected score: UL Monroe 16.3, Mississippi State 42.7. Final score: UL Monroe 13, Mississippi State 62.

Projection updated Sep 3, 11:11 AM ET

Who will win UL Monroe vs Mississippi State?

AccuScore's simulation makes Mississippi State the more likely winner at 96%. The game finished UL Monroe 13, Mississippi State 62.

Will Mississippi State beat UL Monroe?

AccuScore's simulation gives Mississippi State a 96% chance of beating UL Monroe, against 4% for UL Monroe. It finished Mississippi State 62, UL Monroe 13.

What is the predicted score for UL Monroe vs Mississippi State?

AccuScore projects UL Monroe 16.3, Mississippi State 42.7.

UL Monroe predictions & record →Mississippi State predictions & record →