Toledo
3-0
20
Michigan State
2-0
30
Win Probability
Projected score
21.9 – 28.1
| Book | Line | MIC | EV | TOL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -10 | -108 | — | -112 | — |
| FanDuel ↗ | -10.5 | -106 | — | -114 | — |
| BetMGM ↗ | -10 | -110 | — | -108 | — |
| Book | MIC | EV | TOL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -395 | -8.4% | +310 | +18.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -450 | -9.4% | +340 | +23.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -425 | -9.0% | +333 | +22.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 48.5 | -108 | -2.0% | -112 | -2.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 48.5 | -104 | -1.1% | -118 | -3.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 48.5 | -108 | -2.0% | -110 | -2.1% |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 0 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 |
| MIC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 30 |
Cam Edwards 2 Yd Run (Liam Boyd Kick)
MIC
0–7
Liam Boyd 32 Yd Field Goal
MIC
0–10
Liam Boyd 42 Yd Field Goal
MIC
0–13
Adjatay Dabbs 60 Yd pass from John Alan Richter (Reice Griffith Kick)
TOL
7–13
Liam Boyd 48 Yd Field Goal
MIC
7–16
Liam Boyd 35 Yd Field Goal
MIC
7–19
Adjatay Dabbs 6 Yd pass from John Alan Richter (Reice Griffith Kick)
TOL
14–19
Connor Walendzak 71 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
TOL
20–19
Rodney Bullard Jr. 5 Yd pass from Alessio Milivojevic (Alessio Milivojevic Pass to Rodney Bullard Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)
MIC
20–27
Liam Boyd 51 Yd Field Goal
MIC
20–30
| TOL | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Alan Richter | 12/21 | 196 | 9.3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| MIC | C/ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | INT | 2PT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessio Milivojevic | 26/34 | 247 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Venue
Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
Attendance
72,083
NCAAF
Final · TOL 20–30 MIC ·
AccuScore's simulation makes Michigan State 66% to beat Toledo (33%). Projected score: Toledo 21.9, Michigan State 28.1. Final score: Toledo 20, Michigan State 30.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Michigan State the more likely winner at 66%. The game finished Toledo 20, Michigan State 30.
AccuScore's simulation gives Michigan State a 66% chance of beating Toledo, against 33% for Toledo. It finished Michigan State 30, Toledo 20.
AccuScore projects Toledo 21.9, Michigan State 28.1.